Derby County at Stoke City

Updated

Derby County

27.3%27.3%45.4%
Derby County WinDrawStoke City Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.37
1Final Score 2

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Hull City+125
T 1-1 at Millwall+295
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+175
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+130
Stoke City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Bristol City+150
T 1-1 vs Norwich City+165
T 0-0 at Swansea City+215
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+450
L 3-1 vs Hull City+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+225-+205+176-+176+205-
Stoke City+120-+130+135-+135+135-
Draw+225-+225+240-+240+240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+230---+200+240+240-
Stoke City+120---+110+115+115-
Draw+240---+215+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +215 to +205
Stoke City ML moved from +126 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102-o2½+100o2½-102-o2½-102o2½+100-
Underu2½-122-u2½-120u2½-118-u2½-118u2½-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.35%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 412.28%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.16%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 036.87%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.35%
Exactly 36.11%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 025.37%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 223.86%
Exactly 310.91%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.39%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 42.01%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 063.00%
Exactly 129.11%
Exactly 26.72%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 052.99%
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 210.68%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.90%
Wins by 3+ goals2.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals21.51%
Wins by 3+ goals7.95%
Wins by 4+ goals2.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal17.36%
Wins by 2 goals7.18%
Wins by 3 goals2.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals13.56%
Wins by 3 goals5.60%
Wins by 4 goals1.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.65%9.35%
1.568.48%31.52%
2.542.23%57.77%
3.521.49%78.51%
4.59.21%90.79%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.13%36.87%
1.526.35%73.65%
2.57.99%92.01%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.63%25.37%
1.539.83%60.17%
2.515.97%84.03%
3.55.06%94.94%
4.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.61%33.39%
1.529.99%70.01%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Stoke City
Score012345
0
9.35%
12.83%
8.80%
4.02%
1.38%
0.38%
1
9.33%
12.80%
8.78%
4.01%
1.38%
0.38%
2
4.66%
6.39%
4.38%
2.00%
0.69%
0.19%
3
1.55%
2.12%
1.46%
0.67%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.39%
0.53%
0.36%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-09.33%
2-04.66%
2-16.39%
3-01.55%
3-12.12%
3-21.46%
4-00.39%
4-10.53%
4-20.36%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.35%
1-112.80%
2-24.38%
3-30.67%
Stoke City
0-112.83%
0-28.80%
1-28.78%
0-34.02%
1-34.01%
2-32.00%
0-41.38%
1-41.38%
2-40.69%
3-40.23%
0-50.38%
1-50.38%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Stoke City
Score01234
0
33.39%
21.20%
6.73%
1.42%
0.23%
1
15.42%
9.79%
3.11%
0.66%
0.10%
2
3.56%
2.26%
0.72%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.55%
0.35%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-015.42%
2-03.56%
2-12.26%
3-00.55%
3-10.35%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.39%
1-19.79%
2-20.72%
Stoke City
0-121.20%
0-26.73%
1-23.11%
0-31.42%
1-30.66%
2-30.15%
0-40.23%
1-40.10%
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