Stoke City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Stoke City

35.9%29.3%34.8%
Stoke City WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 2

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Hull City+110
L 2-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+155
L 0-3 at Watford+165
W 0-1 vs Coventry City+145
W 0-4 vs Bristol City+105
Middlesbrough
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Preston North End-215
W 2-0 at Cardiff City-115
L 0-1 at Derby County+105
W 0-1 vs Swansea City-120
W 1-3 vs Watford-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+390-+400+360-+360+400-
Middlesbrough-155--160-172--172-160-
Draw+295-+295+330-+330+330-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+375---+415+450+450-
Middlesbrough-145----225-185-185-
Draw+305---+315+350+350-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 50.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +370 to +355
Middlesbrough ML moved from -182 to -189

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 60.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Middlesbrough ML moved from -180 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2¾-108o3-109-o3-109o2¾-108-
Underu2¾-112-u2¾-112u3-111-u3-111u3-111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.33%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 410.61%
Exactly 61.68%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.68%
Exactly 319.50%
Exactly 54.62%
Exactly 70.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 033.30%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.13%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 034.04%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.77%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.49%
Exactly 218.54%
Exactly 41.57%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.23%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 060.10%
Exactly 130.60%
Exactly 27.79%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.71%
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 27.56%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals14.34%
Wins by 3+ goals4.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals13.67%
Wins by 3+ goals4.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.46%
Wins by 2 goals9.99%
Wins by 3 goals3.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal21.03%
Wins by 2 goals9.60%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.67%11.33%
1.563.99%36.01%
2.537.12%62.88%
3.517.62%82.38%
4.57.01%92.99%
5.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.70%33.30%
1.530.08%69.92%
2.59.95%90.05%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.96%34.04%
1.529.28%70.72%
2.59.51%90.49%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.51%36.49%
1.526.72%73.28%
2.58.18%91.82%
3.51.95%98.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
11.33%
12.22%
6.58%
2.36%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.46%
13.43%
7.24%
2.60%
0.70%
0.15%
2
6.85%
7.38%
3.98%
1.43%
0.39%
0.08%
3
2.51%
2.71%
1.46%
0.52%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.69%
0.74%
0.40%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.46%
2-06.85%
2-17.38%
3-02.51%
3-12.71%
3-21.46%
4-00.69%
4-10.74%
4-20.40%
4-30.14%
5-00.15%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.33%
1-113.43%
2-23.98%
3-30.52%
Middlesbrough
0-112.22%
0-26.58%
1-27.24%
0-32.36%
1-32.60%
2-31.43%
0-40.64%
1-40.70%
2-40.39%
3-40.14%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score0123
0
36.49%
18.21%
4.54%
0.76%
1
18.58%
9.27%
2.31%
0.38%
2
4.73%
2.36%
0.59%
0.10%
3
0.80%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-018.58%
2-04.73%
2-12.36%
3-00.80%
3-10.40%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-036.49%
1-19.27%
2-20.59%
Middlesbrough
0-118.21%
0-24.54%
1-22.31%
0-30.76%
1-30.38%
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