Middlesbrough at Derby County

Updated

Middlesbrough

32.3%29.4%38.3%
Middlesbrough WinDrawDerby County Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.14
0Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Swansea City-120
W 1-3 vs Watford-140
W 4-1 at Cardiff City-125
L 4-3 vs Leeds United+400
T 2-2 at Hull City+190
Derby County
Money Line
L 2-4 at Blackburn+225
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City+120
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+135
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
W 1-2 vs Fulham+495

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+120--110-109--109-109-
Derby County+210-+275+245-+245+275-
Draw+230-+255+260-+260+260-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+110----110+105+105-
Derby County+240---+225+250+250-
Draw+255---+240+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +100 to -105
Derby County ML moved from +255 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½-120o2¾+100-o2¾+100o2½-120-
Underu2½-105-u2½+100u2¾-120-u2¾-120u2¾-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.62%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 410.39%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.01%
Exactly 319.31%
Exactly 54.47%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 036.16%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.71%
Exactly 36.34%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 032.14%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.92%
Exactly 218.33%
Exactly 41.52%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.09%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 062.44%
Exactly 129.41%
Exactly 26.92%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 059.12%
Exactly 131.07%
Exactly 28.16%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals12.12%
Wins by 3+ goals3.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals15.73%
Wins by 3+ goals4.92%
Wins by 4+ goals1.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal20.09%
Wins by 2 goals8.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.42%
Wins by 2 goals10.82%
Wins by 3 goals3.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.38%11.62%
1.563.36%36.64%
2.536.45%63.55%
3.517.13%82.87%
4.56.74%93.26%
5.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.84%36.16%
1.527.06%72.94%
2.58.35%91.65%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.86%32.14%
1.531.38%68.62%
2.510.67%89.33%
3.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.08%36.92%
1.526.29%73.71%
2.57.97%92.03%
3.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.62%
13.19%
7.49%
2.83%
0.80%
0.18%
1
11.82%
13.42%
7.62%
2.88%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.01%
6.82%
3.87%
1.47%
0.42%
0.09%
3
2.04%
2.31%
1.31%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.52%
0.59%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-011.82%
2-06.01%
2-16.82%
3-02.04%
3-12.31%
3-21.31%
4-00.52%
4-10.59%
4-20.33%
4-30.13%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.62%
1-113.42%
2-23.87%
3-30.50%
Derby County
0-113.19%
0-27.49%
1-27.62%
0-32.83%
1-32.88%
2-31.47%
0-40.80%
1-40.82%
2-40.42%
3-40.14%
0-50.18%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score01234
0
36.92%
19.40%
5.10%
0.89%
0.12%
1
17.39%
9.14%
2.40%
0.42%
0.06%
2
4.09%
2.15%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.64%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.39%
2-04.09%
2-12.15%
3-00.64%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-036.92%
1-19.14%
2-20.57%
Derby County
0-119.40%
0-25.10%
1-22.40%
0-30.89%
1-30.42%
0-40.12%
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