Bristol City at Derby County

Updated

Bristol City

35.3%29.2%35.6%
Bristol City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.10
3Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Bristol City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Stoke City+410
L 2-3 at Bournemouth+640
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+275
L 0-2 at Barnsley+225
W 1-0 at Blackburn+380
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
W 1-2 vs Fulham+495
L 1-2 at Swansea City+270
W 0-1 vs Preston North End+160
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+320+173+165+160+186+160+173+180.9
Derby County-115+177+170+156+141+156+177+179.8
Draw+245+229+220+230+238+230+238+249.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+215---+215+200+215+180.9
Derby County+100---+100+135+135+179.8
Draw+215---+215+240+240+249.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bristol City: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bristol City ML moved from +181 to +152
Derby County ML moved from +165 to +156

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Bristol City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bristol City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 80.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bristol City ML moved from +240 to +200
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+104o2½+102o2½-103-o2½-103o2½+104o2½+109
Underu2½-112u2½-119u2½-122u2½-117-u2½-117u2½-117u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110---o2½-110-o2½-110o2½+109
Underu2½-120---u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.15%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 410.76%
Exactly 61.73%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.46%
Exactly 319.62%
Exactly 54.72%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 033.49%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 033.29%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.21%
Exactly 218.68%
Exactly 41.61%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 060.26%
Exactly 130.52%
Exactly 27.73%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 060.09%
Exactly 130.60%
Exactly 27.79%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals14.00%
Wins by 3+ goals4.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals14.19%
Wins by 3+ goals4.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Bristol City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal21.16%
Wins by 2 goals9.78%
Wins by 3 goals3.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal21.28%
Wins by 2 goals9.89%
Wins by 3 goals3.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.85%11.15%
1.564.39%35.61%
2.537.56%62.44%
3.517.94%82.06%
4.57.18%92.82%
5.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.51%33.49%
1.529.87%70.13%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.71%33.29%
1.530.09%69.91%
2.59.96%90.04%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.79%36.21%
1.527.00%73.00%
2.58.32%91.68%
3.52.00%98.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bristol City
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.15%
12.26%
6.74%
2.47%
0.68%
0.15%
1
12.20%
13.41%
7.38%
2.70%
0.74%
0.16%
2
6.67%
7.34%
4.04%
1.48%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.43%
2.68%
1.47%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.67%
0.73%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Bristol City
1-012.20%
2-06.67%
2-17.34%
3-02.43%
3-12.68%
3-21.47%
4-00.67%
4-10.73%
4-20.40%
4-30.15%
5-00.15%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.15%
1-113.41%
2-24.04%
3-30.54%
Derby County
0-112.26%
0-26.74%
1-27.38%
0-32.47%
1-32.70%
2-31.48%
0-40.68%
1-40.74%
2-40.41%
3-40.15%
0-50.15%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Bristol City
Derby County
Score01234
0
36.21%
18.44%
4.70%
0.80%
0.10%
1
18.34%
9.34%
2.38%
0.40%
0.05%
2
4.64%
2.37%
0.60%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.78%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Bristol City
1-018.34%
2-04.64%
2-12.37%
3-00.78%
3-10.40%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-036.21%
1-19.34%
2-20.60%
Derby County
0-118.44%
0-24.70%
1-22.38%
0-30.80%
1-30.40%
2-30.10%
0-40.10%
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