Derby County at Blackburn

Updated

Derby County

24.5%25.5%50.0%
Derby County WinDrawBlackburn Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.55
2Final Score 4

Blackburn

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City+120
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+135
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
W 1-2 vs Fulham+495
L 1-2 at Swansea City+270
Blackburn
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Coventry City+115
L 3-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+115
W 1-0 at Leeds United+850
L 0-5 at Bristol City+160
T 0-0 at Middlesbrough+315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+188-+215+230-+230+230-
Blackburn+122-+120+114-+114+120-
Draw+230-+250+225-+225+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+215---+195+225+225-
Blackburn+130---+110+120+120-
Draw+235---+220+245+245-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Blackburn: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Blackburn: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +210 to +200
Blackburn ML moved from +123 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Blackburn: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Blackburn: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +220 to +210
Blackburn ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2½-105o2½+104-o2½+104o2½+104-
Underu2½-110-u2½-115u2½-124-u2½-124u2½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.74%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 413.82%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.81%
Exactly 321.61%
Exactly 57.07%
Exactly 71.10%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 036.60%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.49%
Exactly 36.19%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Blackburn
Exactly 021.15%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 313.22%
Exactly 45.13%
Exactly 51.59%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.59%
Exactly 221.46%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.47%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 062.79%
Exactly 129.22%
Exactly 26.80%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Blackburn
Exactly 048.71%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.60%
Exactly 33.02%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals8.78%
Wins by 3+ goals2.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Blackburn
Wins by 2+ goals25.73%
Wins by 3+ goals10.47%
Wins by 4+ goals3.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Blackburn
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.66%
Wins by 2 goals6.38%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Blackburn
Wins by 1 goal24.20%
Wins by 2 goals15.26%
Wins by 3 goals7.05%
Wins by 4 goals2.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.26%7.74%
1.572.45%27.55%
2.547.11%52.89%
3.525.50%74.50%
4.511.68%88.32%
5.54.60%95.40%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.40%36.60%
1.526.61%73.39%
2.58.12%91.88%
3.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Blackburn Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.85%21.15%
1.545.99%54.01%
2.520.47%79.53%
3.57.25%92.75%
4.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.41%30.59%
1.533.18%66.82%
2.511.72%88.28%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Blackburn
Score012345
0
7.74%
12.03%
9.34%
4.84%
1.88%
0.58%
1
7.78%
12.09%
9.39%
4.86%
1.89%
0.59%
2
3.91%
6.07%
4.72%
2.44%
0.95%
0.29%
3
1.31%
2.03%
1.58%
0.82%
0.32%
0.10%
4
0.33%
0.51%
0.40%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.78%
2-03.91%
2-16.07%
3-01.31%
3-12.03%
3-21.58%
4-00.33%
4-10.51%
4-20.40%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-07.74%
1-112.09%
2-24.72%
3-30.82%
Blackburn
0-112.03%
0-29.34%
1-29.39%
0-34.84%
1-34.86%
2-32.44%
0-41.88%
1-41.89%
2-40.95%
3-40.32%
0-50.58%
1-50.59%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Blackburn
Score01234
0
30.59%
22.00%
7.91%
1.90%
0.34%
1
14.23%
10.24%
3.68%
0.88%
0.16%
2
3.31%
2.38%
0.86%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.51%
0.37%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-014.23%
2-03.31%
2-12.38%
3-00.51%
3-10.37%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-030.59%
1-110.24%
2-20.86%
Blackburn
0-122.00%
0-27.91%
1-23.68%
0-31.90%
1-30.88%
2-30.21%
0-40.34%
1-40.16%