Cardiff City at Derby County

Updated

Cardiff City

39.2%28.1%32.7%
Cardiff City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 0

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Birmingham City+110
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+560
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+190
L 1-2 at Hull City+200
W 2-1 at Reading+220
Derby County
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+135
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
W 1-2 vs Fulham+495
L 1-2 at Swansea City+270
W 0-1 vs Preston North End+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+205+221+215+215+213+215+221+239.0
Derby County+125+129+125+115+119+115+129+134.1
Draw+235+249+220+230+245+230+249+260.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+200---+195+215+215+239.0
Derby County+130---+105+120+120+134.1
Draw+250---+235+255+255+260.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +225 to +215
Derby County ML moved from +122 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 40.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML
Derby County ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-103o2½-108o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-103o2½+100
Underu2¾-115u2½-112u2½-112u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-109 to o2¾+104
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.73%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 411.95%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.67%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 55.57%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 029.20%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 033.31%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.13%
Exactly 37.37%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.00%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 41.92%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 056.55%
Exactly 132.24%
Exactly 29.19%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 060.11%
Exactly 130.59%
Exactly 27.79%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals17.05%
Wins by 3+ goals5.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals12.88%
Wins by 3+ goals3.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal22.12%
Wins by 2 goals11.31%
Wins by 3 goals4.20%
Wins by 4 goals1.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal19.75%
Wins by 2 goals9.02%
Wins by 3 goals2.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.27%9.73%
1.567.61%32.39%
2.541.20%58.80%
3.520.69%79.31%
4.58.73%91.27%
5.53.16%96.84%
6.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.80%29.20%
1.534.86%65.14%
2.512.73%87.27%
3.53.65%96.35%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.69%33.31%
1.530.07%69.93%
2.59.94%90.06%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.00%34.00%
1.529.33%70.67%
2.59.54%90.46%
3.52.42%97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.73%
10.69%
5.88%
2.15%
0.59%
0.13%
1
11.97%
13.16%
7.23%
2.65%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.37%
8.10%
4.45%
1.63%
0.45%
0.10%
3
3.02%
3.32%
1.83%
0.67%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.93%
1.02%
0.56%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.25%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-011.97%
2-07.37%
2-18.10%
3-03.02%
3-13.32%
3-21.83%
4-00.93%
4-11.02%
4-20.56%
4-30.21%
5-00.23%
5-10.25%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.73%
1-113.16%
2-24.45%
3-30.67%
Derby County
0-110.69%
0-25.88%
1-27.23%
0-32.15%
1-32.65%
2-31.63%
0-40.59%
1-40.73%
2-40.45%
3-40.18%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Derby County
Score0123
0
34.00%
17.30%
4.40%
0.75%
1
19.38%
9.86%
2.51%
0.43%
2
5.52%
2.81%
0.72%
0.12%
3
1.05%
0.53%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-019.38%
2-05.52%
2-12.81%
3-01.05%
3-10.53%
3-20.14%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-034.00%
1-19.86%
2-20.72%
Derby County
0-117.30%
0-24.40%
1-22.51%
0-30.75%
1-30.43%
2-30.12%
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