Derby County at Millwall

Updated

Derby County

27.2%28.4%44.4%
Derby County WinDrawMillwall Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.28
1Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+175
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+190
L 1-2 at Watford+300
Millwall
Money Line
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+345
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+150
W 1-3 vs Preston North End-105
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+210
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+250-+310+285-+285+310-
Millwall+100--105-109--109-105-
Draw+230-+205+220-+220+220-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+295---+275+295+295-
Millwall+100----120+100+100-
Draw+235---+215+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 20.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +300 to +290
Millwall ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 20.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+101-o2-120o2-117-o2-117o2-117-
Underu2¼-121-u2+100u2-103-u2-103u2+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.89%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 410.97%
Exactly 61.80%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.14%
Exactly 319.79%
Exactly 54.87%
Exactly 70.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 039.19%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.19%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 027.78%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 39.73%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.82%
Exactly 218.88%
Exactly 41.66%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.46%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 064.81%
Exactly 128.11%
Exactly 26.10%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 055.26%
Exactly 132.77%
Exactly 29.72%
Exactly 31.92%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.49%
Wins by 3+ goals2.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals20.17%
Wins by 3+ goals7.09%
Wins by 4+ goals1.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal17.67%
Wins by 2 goals7.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal24.16%
Wins by 2 goals13.08%
Wins by 3 goals5.10%
Wins by 4 goals1.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.11%10.89%
1.564.97%35.03%
2.538.20%61.80%
3.518.41%81.59%
4.57.44%92.56%
5.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.81%39.19%
1.524.10%75.90%
2.56.90%93.10%
3.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.22%27.78%
1.536.64%63.36%
2.513.85%86.15%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.18%35.82%
1.527.41%72.59%
2.58.53%91.47%
3.52.07%97.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Millwall
Score012345
0
10.89%
13.94%
8.93%
3.81%
1.22%
0.31%
1
10.20%
13.06%
8.37%
3.57%
1.14%
0.29%
2
4.78%
6.12%
3.92%
1.67%
0.54%
0.14%
3
1.49%
1.91%
1.22%
0.52%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.35%
0.45%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Derby County
1-010.20%
2-04.78%
2-16.12%
3-01.49%
3-11.91%
3-21.22%
4-00.35%
4-10.45%
4-20.29%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.89%
1-113.06%
2-23.92%
3-30.52%
Millwall
0-113.94%
0-28.93%
1-28.37%
0-33.81%
1-33.57%
2-31.67%
0-41.22%
1-41.14%
2-40.54%
3-40.17%
0-50.31%
1-50.29%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Millwall
Score01234
0
35.82%
21.24%
6.30%
1.25%
0.18%
1
15.53%
9.21%
2.73%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.37%
2.00%
0.59%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-015.53%
2-03.37%
2-12.00%
3-00.49%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-035.82%
1-19.21%
2-20.59%
Millwall
0-121.24%
0-26.30%
1-22.73%
0-31.25%
1-30.54%
2-30.12%
0-40.18%