Preston North End at Millwall

Updated 46 days ago

02:00 PM • Sep 28, 2024

Preston North End

29.3%28.3%42.4%

Preston North End WinDrawMillwall Win

1.00Projected Goals 1.27

1Final Score 3

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Preston North End		Money Line
T 0-0	9/22 vs Blackburn	+175
T 1-1	9/14 at Middlesbrough	+565
W 0-1	8/24 vs Luton Town	+190
L 0-3	8/17 at Swansea City	+275
L 0-3	5/04 at West Bromwich Albion	+800

Millwall		Money Line
T 1-1	9/21 at Queens Park Rangers	+210
L 1-0	9/14 vs Luton Town	+160
W 0-3	8/31 vs Sheffield Wednesday	+140
T 0-0	8/24 at Hull City	+220
L 3-4	8/17 at Bristol City	+315

Money Line Analysis

:4.4%:5.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Preston North End	+300	-	+330	+270	-	+270	+330	-
Millwall	-113	-	-115	-106	-	-106	-106	-
Draw	+230	-	+235	+225	-	+225	+235	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Preston North End	+315	-	-	-	+300	+330	+330	-
Millwall	-110	-	-	-	-125	-105	-105	-
Draw	+250	-	-	-	+210	+225	+225	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Preston North End: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Preston North End: 30.0%

Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Preston North End: 10.0%

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Preston North End: 0.0%

Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Preston North End ML moved from +285 to +27009/28/2024
01:51 PM

Millwall ML moved from +100 to -10409/28/2024
07:41 AM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Preston North End: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Preston North End: 30.0%

Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Preston North End: 0.0%

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Preston North End: 0.0%

Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Preston North End ML moved from +350 to +27509/28/2024
05:54 AM

Millwall ML moved from +100 to -10509/28/2024
11:38 AM

Over/Under Analysis

:3.8%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-120	-	o2-125	o2-123	-	o2-123	o2-123	-
Under	u2+100	-	u2+105	u2+103	-	u2+103	u2+105	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.4%


No	54.6%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.36%
Exactly 2	26.63%
Exactly 4	11.40%
Exactly 6	1.95%
Exactly 8	0.18%


Exactly 1	23.49%
Exactly 3	20.12%
Exactly 5	5.17%
Exactly 7	0.63%

Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 0	36.74%
Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 2	18.42%
Exactly 3	6.15%
Exactly 4	1.54%
Exactly 5	0.31%

Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 0	28.21%
Exactly 1	35.70%
Exactly 2	22.59%
Exactly 3	9.53%
Exactly 4	3.02%
Exactly 5	0.76%
Exactly 6	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.01%
Exactly 2	19.28%
Exactly 4	1.77%


Exactly 1	36.74%
Exactly 3	6.75%
Exactly 5	0.37%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 0	62.91%
Exactly 1	29.16%
Exactly 2	6.76%
Exactly 3	1.04%
Exactly 4	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 0	55.66%
Exactly 1	32.61%
Exactly 2	9.56%
Exactly 3	1.87%
Exactly 4	0.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals	10.75%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.63%

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals	18.99%
Wins by 3+ goals	6.58%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.82%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Preston North End

Millwall

Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal	18.49%
Wins by 2 goals	7.77%
Wins by 3 goals	2.35%
Wins by 4 goals	0.54%

Millwall
Wins by 1 goal	23.38%
Wins by 2 goals	12.41%
Wins by 3 goals	4.76%
Wins by 4 goals	1.42%
Wins by 5 goals	0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.64%	10.36%
1.5	66.14%	33.86%
2.5	39.51%	60.49%
3.5	19.39%	80.61%
4.5	7.99%	92.01%
5.5	2.82%	97.18%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.26%	36.74%
1.5	26.47%	73.53%
2.5	8.05%	91.95%
3.5	1.91%	98.09%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.79%	28.21%
1.5	36.09%	63.91%
2.5	13.50%	86.50%
3.5	3.97%	96.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.99%	35.01%
1.5	28.25%	71.75%
2.5	8.96%	91.04%
3.5	2.22%	97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Preston North End

Millwall

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.36%	13.12%	8.30%	3.50%	1.11%	0.28%
1	10.38%	13.13%	8.31%	3.51%	1.11%	0.28%
2	5.19%	6.57%	4.16%	1.76%	0.56%	0.14%
3	1.73%	2.19%	1.39%	0.59%	0.19%	0.05%
4	0.43%	0.55%	0.35%	0.15%	0.05%	0.01%

Preston North End
1-0	10.38%
2-0	5.19%
2-1	6.57%
3-0	1.73%
3-1	2.19%
3-2	1.39%
4-0	0.43%
4-1	0.55%
4-2	0.35%
4-3	0.15%

Draw
0-0	10.36%
1-1	13.13%
2-2	4.16%
3-3	0.59%

Millwall
0-1	13.12%
0-2	8.30%
1-2	8.31%
0-3	3.50%
1-3	3.51%
2-3	1.76%
0-4	1.11%
1-4	1.11%
2-4	0.56%
3-4	0.19%
0-5	0.28%
1-5	0.28%
2-5	0.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Preston North End

Millwall

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	35.01%	20.52%	6.01%	1.17%	0.17%
1	16.23%	9.51%	2.79%	0.54%	0.08%
2	3.76%	2.20%	0.65%	0.13%	0.02%
3	0.58%	0.34%	0.10%	0.02%	0.00%

Preston North End
1-0	16.23%
2-0	3.76%
2-1	2.20%
3-0	0.58%
3-1	0.34%

Draw
0-0	35.01%
1-1	9.51%
2-2	0.65%

Millwall
0-1	20.52%
0-2	6.01%
1-2	2.79%
0-3	1.17%
1-3	0.54%
2-3	0.13%
0-4	0.17%

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