Derby County at Watford

Updated

Derby County

18.6%24.6%56.7%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+250
L 2-4 at Blackburn+225
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City+120
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+135
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
Watford
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Stoke City+170
W 3-2 at Millwall+215
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+340
T 0-0 vs Hull City+190
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+300-+310+265-+275+310-
Watford-110--115-112--115-115-
Draw+230-+235+250-+250+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+290---+280+300+300-
Watford-105----135-110-110-
Draw+255---+245+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +255 to +245
Watford ML moved from -108 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
Watford ML moved from -120 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2½+100o2½+102-o2½+102o2½+102-
Underu2½-110-u2½-120u2½-122-u2½-122u2½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.67%
Exactly 225.92%
Exactly 412.91%
Exactly 62.57%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.20%
Exactly 321.13%
Exactly 56.32%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 044.25%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.71%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 019.60%
Exactly 131.94%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 314.14%
Exactly 45.76%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.24%
Exactly 220.66%
Exactly 42.21%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.80%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 068.56%
Exactly 125.88%
Exactly 24.88%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 047.02%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.39%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals30.84%
Wins by 3+ goals13.29%
Wins by 4+ goals4.66%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal12.93%
Wins by 2 goals4.39%
Wins by 3 goals1.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.85%
Wins by 2 goals17.54%
Wins by 3 goals8.63%
Wins by 4 goals3.31%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.33%8.67%
1.570.12%29.88%
2.544.20%55.80%
3.523.08%76.92%
4.510.16%89.84%
5.53.85%96.15%
6.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.75%44.25%
1.519.67%80.33%
2.54.97%95.03%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.40%19.60%
1.548.46%51.54%
2.522.44%77.56%
3.58.30%91.70%
4.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.76%32.24%
1.531.27%68.73%
2.510.61%89.39%
3.52.82%97.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Watford
Score012345
0
8.67%
14.13%
11.52%
6.26%
2.55%
0.83%
1
7.07%
11.52%
9.39%
5.10%
2.08%
0.68%
2
2.88%
4.70%
3.83%
2.08%
0.85%
0.28%
3
0.78%
1.28%
1.04%
0.57%
0.23%
0.08%
4
0.16%
0.26%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.07%
2-02.88%
2-14.70%
3-00.78%
3-11.28%
3-21.04%
4-00.16%
4-10.26%
4-20.21%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.67%
1-111.52%
2-23.83%
3-30.57%
Watford
0-114.13%
0-211.52%
1-29.39%
0-36.26%
1-35.10%
2-32.08%
0-42.55%
1-42.08%
2-40.85%
3-40.23%
0-50.83%
1-50.68%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Watford
Score01234
0
32.24%
24.32%
9.18%
2.31%
0.44%
1
12.17%
9.18%
3.46%
0.87%
0.16%
2
2.30%
1.73%
0.65%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.29%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-012.17%
2-02.30%
2-11.73%
3-00.29%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-032.24%
1-19.18%
2-20.65%
Watford
0-124.32%
0-29.18%
1-23.46%
0-32.31%
1-30.87%
2-30.16%
0-40.44%
1-40.16%
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