Millwall at Stoke City

Updated

Millwall

31.5%29.1%39.4%
Millwall WinDrawStoke City Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.18
1Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+350
W 0-1 vs Burnley+175
W 1-0 at Swansea City+190
T 1-1 vs Derby County+100
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+345
Stoke City
Money Line
W 2-0 at Blackburn+240
W 1-2 vs Derby County+115
T 2-2 vs Bristol City+150
T 1-1 vs Norwich City+165
T 0-0 at Swansea City+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:7.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+180-+215+210-+210+215-
Stoke City+150-+130+129-+129+130-
Draw+215-+210+210-+210+210-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+190---+170+180+180-
Stoke City+155---+135+165+165-
Draw+220---+200+215+215-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 10.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +180 to +168
Stoke City ML moved from +145 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2¼+102o2¼+107-o2¼+107o2¼+107-
Underu2¼-122-u2¼-122u2¼-127-u2¼-127u2¼-122-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.14%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 410.77%
Exactly 61.73%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.45%
Exactly 319.62%
Exactly 54.72%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 036.12%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 030.85%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 221.33%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.20%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 41.61%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 062.41%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 058.01%
Exactly 131.59%
Exactly 28.60%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals11.79%
Wins by 3+ goals3.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals16.74%
Wins by 3+ goals5.46%
Wins by 4+ goals1.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal19.64%
Wins by 2 goals8.46%
Wins by 3 goals2.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal22.68%
Wins by 2 goals11.28%
Wins by 3 goals4.04%
Wins by 4 goals1.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.86%11.14%
1.564.41%35.59%
2.537.58%62.42%
3.517.96%82.04%
4.57.19%92.81%
5.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.88%36.12%
1.527.10%72.90%
2.58.37%91.63%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.15%30.85%
1.532.87%67.13%
2.511.54%88.46%
3.53.17%96.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.80%36.20%
1.527.01%72.99%
2.58.33%91.67%
3.52.00%98.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Stoke City
Score012345
0
11.14%
13.10%
7.71%
3.02%
0.89%
0.21%
1
11.35%
13.34%
7.85%
3.08%
0.90%
0.21%
2
5.78%
6.79%
4.00%
1.57%
0.46%
0.11%
3
1.96%
2.31%
1.36%
0.53%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.50%
0.59%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-011.35%
2-05.78%
2-16.79%
3-01.96%
3-12.31%
3-21.36%
4-00.50%
4-10.59%
4-20.35%
4-30.14%
5-00.10%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.14%
1-113.34%
2-24.00%
3-30.53%
Stoke City
0-113.10%
0-27.71%
1-27.85%
0-33.02%
1-33.08%
2-31.57%
0-40.89%
1-40.90%
2-40.46%
3-40.16%
0-50.21%
1-50.21%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Stoke City
Score01234
0
36.20%
19.71%
5.37%
0.97%
0.13%
1
17.07%
9.29%
2.53%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.02%
2.19%
0.60%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.63%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-017.07%
2-04.02%
2-12.19%
3-00.63%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-036.20%
1-19.29%
2-20.60%
Stoke City
0-119.71%
0-25.37%
1-22.53%
0-30.97%
1-30.46%
2-30.11%
0-40.13%
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