Stoke City at Luton Town

Updated

Stoke City

39.0%28.1%32.9%
Stoke City WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.22Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Burnley+225
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+155
T 1-1 vs Millwall+165
W 2-0 at Blackburn+240
Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+125
L 2-4 at Norwich City+260
L 0-3 at Leeds United+650
W 0-1 vs Hull City+100
L 1-5 at Middlesbrough+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+245-+295+265-+265+295-
Luton Town+110--110-112--112-110-
Draw+225-+230+250-+250+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+270---+240+280+280-
Luton Town+100----115+105+105-
Draw+260---+235+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 50.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +250 to +240
Luton Town ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 40.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +295 to +280
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2½-110o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-105-
Underu2½-110-u2½-110u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.81%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 411.88%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.78%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 55.51%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 029.44%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 033.33%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.12%
Exactly 37.37%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.13%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 056.77%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 060.13%
Exactly 130.59%
Exactly 27.78%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals16.87%
Wins by 3+ goals5.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.51%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals12.94%
Wins by 3+ goals3.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal22.08%
Wins by 2 goals11.23%
Wins by 3 goals4.14%
Wins by 4 goals1.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal19.84%
Wins by 2 goals9.06%
Wins by 3 goals3.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.19%9.81%
1.567.41%32.59%
2.540.97%59.03%
3.520.51%79.49%
4.58.63%91.37%
5.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.56%29.44%
1.534.56%65.44%
2.512.55%87.45%
3.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.67%33.33%
1.530.05%69.95%
2.59.93%90.07%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.87%34.13%
1.529.18%70.82%
2.59.46%90.54%
3.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
9.81%
10.78%
5.92%
2.17%
0.60%
0.13%
1
12.00%
13.18%
7.24%
2.65%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.34%
8.06%
4.43%
1.62%
0.45%
0.10%
3
2.99%
3.29%
1.81%
0.66%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.91%
1.00%
0.55%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.25%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.00%
2-07.34%
2-18.06%
3-02.99%
3-13.29%
3-21.81%
4-00.91%
4-11.00%
4-20.55%
4-30.20%
5-00.22%
5-10.25%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.81%
1-113.18%
2-24.43%
3-30.66%
Luton Town
0-110.78%
0-25.92%
1-27.24%
0-32.17%
1-32.65%
2-31.62%
0-40.60%
1-40.73%
2-40.45%
3-40.18%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score0123
0
34.13%
17.36%
4.42%
0.75%
1
19.33%
9.83%
2.50%
0.42%
2
5.47%
2.78%
0.71%
0.12%
3
1.03%
0.53%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-019.33%
2-05.47%
2-12.78%
3-01.03%
3-10.53%
3-20.13%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-034.13%
1-19.83%
2-20.71%
Luton Town
0-117.36%
0-24.42%
1-22.50%
0-30.75%
1-30.42%
2-30.12%
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