Derby County at Leeds United

Updated

Derby County

10.8%17.9%71.3%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.21
0Final Score 2

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+165
L 2-1 vs Swansea City+170
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225
W 2-1 at Coventry City+460
L 1-2 at Stoke City+240
Leeds United
Money Line
L 0-1 at Blackburn-145
W 0-3 vs Luton Town-225
W 4-3 at Swansea City-120
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers-420
L 0-1 at Millwall-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+660-+750+650-+650+750-
Leeds United-270--275-263--263-263-
Draw+350-+360+350-+350+360-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+785---+700+785+785-
Leeds United-280----345-280-280-
Draw+395---+340+395+395-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +660 to +650
Leeds United ML moved from -286 to -294

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Leeds United: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102-o2½-102o2½-106-o2½-106o2½-102-
Underu2½-118-u2½-118u2½-114-u2½-114u2½-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.29%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 416.45%
Exactly 64.74%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.55%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.67%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 048.32%
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 212.78%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 010.95%
Exactly 124.22%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 319.75%
Exactly 410.92%
Exactly 54.83%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 70.56%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.65%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 310.77%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 071.41%
Exactly 124.05%
Exactly 24.05%
Exactly 30.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 035.91%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.83%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals2.84%
Wins by 3+ goals0.54%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals47.23%
Wins by 3+ goals25.79%
Wins by 4+ goals11.74%
Wins by 5+ goals4.52%
Wins by 6+ goals1.48%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Leeds United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal7.89%
Wins by 2 goals2.30%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals21.44%
Wins by 3 goals14.05%
Wins by 4 goals7.22%
Wins by 5 goals3.04%
Wins by 6 goals1.08%
Wins by 7 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.71%5.29%
1.579.16%20.84%
2.556.30%43.70%
3.533.91%66.09%
4.517.46%82.54%
5.57.79%92.21%
6.53.05%96.95%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.68%48.32%
1.516.54%83.46%
2.53.76%96.24%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.05%10.95%
1.564.83%35.17%
2.538.04%61.96%
3.518.30%81.70%
4.57.38%92.62%
5.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.35%25.65%
1.539.46%60.54%
2.515.71%84.29%
3.54.94%95.06%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Leeds United
Score012345
0
5.29%
11.70%
12.94%
9.54%
5.28%
2.33%
1
3.85%
8.51%
9.41%
6.94%
3.84%
1.70%
2
1.40%
3.10%
3.42%
2.52%
1.40%
0.62%
3
0.34%
0.75%
0.83%
0.61%
0.34%
0.15%
Derby County
1-03.85%
2-01.40%
2-13.10%
3-00.34%
3-10.75%
3-20.83%
Draw
0-05.29%
1-18.51%
2-23.42%
3-30.61%
Leeds United
0-111.70%
0-212.94%
1-29.41%
0-39.54%
1-36.94%
2-32.52%
0-45.28%
1-43.84%
2-41.40%
3-40.34%
0-52.33%
1-51.70%
2-50.62%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Leeds United
Score012345
0
25.65%
26.26%
13.45%
4.59%
1.18%
0.24%
1
8.64%
8.84%
4.53%
1.55%
0.40%
0.08%
2
1.45%
1.49%
0.76%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-08.64%
2-01.45%
2-11.49%
3-00.16%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-025.65%
1-18.84%
2-20.76%
Leeds United
0-126.26%
0-213.45%
1-24.53%
0-34.59%
1-31.55%
2-30.26%
0-41.18%
1-40.40%
0-50.24%
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