Derby County at Preston North End

Updated

Derby County

30.0%27.9%42.2%
Derby County WinDrawPreston North End Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.29

Preston North End

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 2-1 at Coventry City+460
L 1-2 at Stoke City+240
T 1-1 vs Hull City+125
T 1-1 at Millwall+295
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
Preston North End
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+150
T 2-2 vs Norwich City+170
W 0-1 vs Coventry City+195
T 0-0 at Burnley+400
W 0-3 vs Watford+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+215-+240+215-+215+240-
Preston North End+128-+120+128-+128+128-
Draw+210-+210+210-+210+210-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County------
Preston North End------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Preston North End: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston North End: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston North End: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Preston North End ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+101-o2¼+102o2¼+101-o2¼+101o2¼+102-
Underu2¼-121-u2¼-122u2¼-121-u2¼-121u2¼-121-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.70%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 411.98%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.63%
Exactly 320.53%
Exactly 55.59%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 035.26%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.16%
Exactly 36.66%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 027.50%
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 222.91%
Exactly 39.86%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.95%
Exactly 219.81%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.72%
Exactly 129.79%
Exactly 27.19%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 055.01%
Exactly 132.88%
Exactly 29.82%
Exactly 31.96%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals11.30%
Wins by 3+ goals3.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals19.06%
Wins by 3+ goals6.69%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Preston North End
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal18.62%
Wins by 2 goals8.07%
Wins by 3 goals2.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal23.06%
Wins by 2 goals12.37%
Wins by 3 goals4.82%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.30%9.70%
1.567.67%32.33%
2.541.28%58.72%
3.520.74%79.26%
4.58.77%91.23%
5.53.18%96.82%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.74%35.26%
1.527.98%72.02%
2.58.83%91.17%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.50%27.50%
1.536.99%63.01%
2.514.08%85.92%
3.54.22%95.78%
4.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.05%33.95%
1.529.37%70.63%
2.59.56%90.44%
3.52.43%97.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Preston North End
Score012345
0
9.70%
12.52%
8.08%
3.48%
1.12%
0.29%
1
10.11%
13.05%
8.42%
3.62%
1.17%
0.30%
2
5.27%
6.80%
4.39%
1.89%
0.61%
0.16%
3
1.83%
2.36%
1.53%
0.66%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.48%
0.62%
0.40%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
Derby County
1-010.11%
2-05.27%
2-16.80%
3-01.83%
3-12.36%
3-21.53%
4-00.48%
4-10.62%
4-20.40%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.70%
1-113.05%
2-24.39%
3-30.66%
Preston North End
0-112.52%
0-28.08%
1-28.42%
0-33.48%
1-33.62%
2-31.89%
0-41.12%
1-41.17%
2-40.61%
3-40.21%
0-50.29%
1-50.30%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Preston North End
Score01234
0
33.95%
20.29%
6.06%
1.21%
0.18%
1
16.38%
9.79%
2.93%
0.58%
0.09%
2
3.95%
2.36%
0.71%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.64%
0.38%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-016.38%
2-03.95%
2-12.36%
3-00.64%
3-10.38%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.95%
1-19.79%
2-20.71%
Preston North End
0-120.29%
0-26.06%
1-22.93%
0-31.21%
1-30.58%
2-30.14%
0-40.18%
Hull City at Luton Town
Stoke City at Queens Park Rangers