Preston North End at Luton Town

Updated

Preston North End

35.8%28.5%35.7%
Preston North End WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.14
0Final Score 4

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Preston North End
Money Line
T 0-0 at Cardiff City+205
W 1-2 vs Bournemouth+235
T 1-1 at Coventry City+305
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest+185
L 3-2 vs Reading-150
Luton Town
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
W 1-0 at Coventry City+270
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+370
W 0-1 vs Derby County-125
W 2-1 at Stoke City+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Preston North End+200+223+210+205+233+205+233+234.6
Luton Town+145+146+145+135+131+135+146+150.9
Draw+205+223+200+205+204+205+223+230.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Preston North End+235---+235+225+235+234.6
Luton Town+140---+105+135+135+150.9
Draw+200---+195+215+215+230.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Preston North End: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Preston North End: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Preston North End: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Preston North End ML moved from +229 to +220
Luton Town ML moved from +128 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Preston North End: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Preston North End: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Preston North End: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Preston North End ML moved from +265 to +225
Luton Town ML moved from +140 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-137o2¼-105o2¼-105-o2¼-105o2-137o2-128
Underu2¼-115u2+122u2¼-115u2¼-115-u2¼-115u2¼-115u2+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-128
Under-----u2+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2+102 to o2-126
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.21%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.54%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.29%
Exactly 320.22%
Exactly 55.27%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 031.91%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 37.92%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 031.98%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 42.25%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.76%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.84%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 058.93%
Exactly 131.16%
Exactly 28.24%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 058.99%
Exactly 131.14%
Exactly 28.22%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals14.60%
Wins by 3+ goals4.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals14.54%
Wins by 3+ goals4.52%
Wins by 4+ goals1.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Preston North End
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal21.08%
Wins by 2 goals10.06%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal21.04%
Wins by 2 goals10.02%
Wins by 3 goals3.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.79%10.21%
1.566.50%33.50%
2.539.92%60.08%
3.519.71%80.29%
4.58.17%91.83%
5.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.09%31.91%
1.531.64%68.36%
2.510.82%89.18%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.02%31.98%
1.531.56%68.44%
2.510.78%89.22%
3.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.24%34.76%
1.528.51%71.49%
2.59.10%90.90%
3.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Preston North End
Luton Town
Score012345
0
10.21%
11.64%
6.63%
2.52%
0.72%
0.16%
1
11.66%
13.29%
7.58%
2.88%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.66%
7.59%
4.33%
1.64%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.53%
2.89%
1.65%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.72%
0.83%
0.47%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Preston North End
1-011.66%
2-06.66%
2-17.59%
3-02.53%
3-12.89%
3-21.65%
4-00.72%
4-10.83%
4-20.47%
4-30.18%
5-00.17%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.21%
1-113.29%
2-24.33%
3-30.63%
Luton Town
0-111.64%
0-26.63%
1-27.58%
0-32.52%
1-32.88%
2-31.64%
0-40.72%
1-40.82%
2-40.47%
3-40.18%
0-50.16%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Preston North End
Luton Town
Score01234
0
34.76%
18.35%
4.84%
0.85%
0.11%
1
18.38%
9.70%
2.56%
0.45%
0.06%
2
4.86%
2.57%
0.68%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.86%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Preston North End
1-018.38%
2-04.86%
2-12.57%
3-00.86%
3-10.45%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.76%
1-19.70%
2-20.68%
Luton Town
0-118.35%
0-24.84%
1-22.56%
0-30.85%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%