Swansea City at Nottingham Forest

Updated

Swansea City

46.9%27.5%25.6%
Swansea City WinDrawNottingham Forest Win
1.37Projected Goals 0.93
1Final Score 5

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Bournemouth+320
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough+220
T 4-4 at Reading+200
T 1-1 vs Barnsley-155
W 1-2 vs Derby County+105
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 1-0 at Fulham+275
W 0-4 vs West Bromwich Albion+125
L 0-1 at Luton Town+130
W 0-2 vs Birmingham City-170
W 0-2 vs Coventry City-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+360+641+600+620+598+620+641+664.0
Nottingham Forest-130-229-245-270-252-270-229-208.7
Draw+255+403+360+380+399+380+403+418.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+475---+400+550+550+664.0
Nottingham Forest-180----230-205-205-208.7
Draw+330---+335+340+340+418.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 60.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +630 to +620
Nottingham Forest ML moved from -256 to -278

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 60.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Nottingham Forest: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML
Nottingham Forest ML moved from -220 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-149o3+102o3+100-o3+100o2½-149o3+114
Underu2½-115u2½+134u3-122u3-120-u3-120u3-120u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+114
Under-----u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.99%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 411.72%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 123.01%
Exactly 320.36%
Exactly 55.40%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 025.43%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 223.84%
Exactly 310.88%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 51.02%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 039.28%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.15%
Exactly 35.34%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.41%
Exactly 219.58%
Exactly 41.86%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.96%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 053.04%
Exactly 133.63%
Exactly 210.66%
Exactly 32.25%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 064.88%
Exactly 128.07%
Exactly 26.07%
Exactly 30.88%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals22.34%
Wins by 3+ goals8.28%
Wins by 4+ goals2.46%
Wins by 5+ goals0.58%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals8.85%
Wins by 3+ goals2.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.51%
Wins by 2 goals14.05%
Wins by 3 goals5.83%
Wins by 4 goals1.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal16.72%
Wins by 2 goals6.54%
Wins by 3 goals1.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.01%9.99%
1.567.01%32.99%
2.540.50%59.50%
3.520.15%79.85%
4.58.42%91.58%
5.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.57%25.43%
1.539.76%60.24%
2.515.92%84.08%
3.55.03%94.97%
4.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.72%39.28%
1.524.02%75.98%
2.56.87%93.13%
3.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.59%34.41%
1.528.88%71.12%
2.59.30%90.70%
3.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
9.99%
9.33%
4.36%
1.36%
0.32%
1
13.68%
12.78%
5.97%
1.86%
0.43%
2
9.36%
8.75%
4.09%
1.27%
0.30%
3
4.27%
3.99%
1.87%
0.58%
0.14%
4
1.46%
1.37%
0.64%
0.20%
0.05%
5
0.40%
0.37%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-013.68%
2-09.36%
2-18.75%
3-04.27%
3-13.99%
3-21.87%
4-01.46%
4-11.37%
4-20.64%
4-30.20%
5-00.40%
5-10.37%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-09.99%
1-112.78%
2-24.09%
3-30.58%
Nottingham Forest
0-19.33%
0-24.36%
1-25.97%
0-31.36%
1-31.86%
2-31.27%
0-40.32%
1-40.43%
2-40.30%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Nottingham Forest
Score0123
0
34.41%
14.89%
3.22%
0.46%
1
21.82%
9.44%
2.04%
0.29%
2
6.92%
2.99%
0.65%
0.09%
3
1.46%
0.63%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.23%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-021.82%
2-06.92%
2-12.99%
3-01.46%
3-10.63%
3-20.14%
4-00.23%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-034.41%
1-19.44%
2-20.65%
Nottingham Forest
0-114.89%
0-23.22%
1-22.04%
0-30.46%
1-30.29%