England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jan 8, 2025
Games for Jan 10, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leeds United
Coventry City		63.4%
15.1%		21.4%
+100
+240
-105
+250
1
2		-1.28276-1.30258-1.88842
Preston North End
Watford		20.3%
55.1%		24.6%
+260
+110
+275
+105
0
0		-1.22751-1.27122-1.40332
Swansea City
Middlesbrough		49.3%
24.3%		26.5%
+310
-130
+325
-135
0
2		-0.62220-0.60378-1.41527
Hull City
Leeds United		13.1%
68.6%		18.3%
+600
-260
+675
-265
1
3		-0.39230-0.37004-0.37715
Watford
West Bromwich Albion		34.8%
36.3%		28.9%
+285
+100
+340
-110
2
2		-1.26556-1.25734-1.24067
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough		29.7%
41.5%		28.8%
+320
-120
+360
-125
0
2		-0.65514-0.63726-0.88037
Millwall
Rotherham United		34.8%
36.4%		28.8%
-145
+460
-140
+440
1
2		-1.78129-1.73534-1.01079
Preston North End
Birmingham City		46.9%
26.6%		26.5%
+235
+120
+230
+120
0
1		-0.84302-0.83884-1.32411
Cardiff City
Coventry City		38.6%
33.0%		28.4%
+570
-220
+585
-215
2
1		-1.95942-1.97371-0.95272
Huddersfield
Stoke City		22.6%
52.4%		24.9%
+260
+105
+280
+105
1
1		-1.28175-1.25727-1.38914
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City		16.0%
63.4%		20.6%
+180
+155
+190
+155
1
0		-1.08960-1.11301-1.83371
Coventry City
Huddersfield		37.6%
33.2%		29.1%
+128
+205
+125
+215
3
1		-0.87897-0.86140-0.97697
Swansea City
Sheffield Wednesday		51.4%
22.5%		26.0%
+175
+156
+180
+150
1
1		-1.23877-1.27379-1.34596
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers		24.4%
50.9%		24.7%
+265
+105
+290
+100
1
2		-0.77638-0.74244-0.67556
Stoke City
Hull City		32.9%
40.2%		26.9%
+270
-105
+295
-110
2
0		-1.37429-1.42341-1.11313
Rotherham United
Preston North End		32.2%
40.7%		27.1%
+600
-205
+600
-200
0
3		-0.45452-0.45471-0.89899
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.