England Championship Predictions

Updated 6 days ago

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Games for Nov 15, 2024

Games for Nov 17, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/25/2023 03:00 PM	Millwall Stoke City	31.5% 39.4%	29.1%	+239 +130 +235 +130	1 0	-1.26890-1.25846	-1.15547
02/25/2023 03:00 PM	Blackburn Queens Park Rangers	45.4% 29.2%	25.4%	+274 +115 +275 +110	3 1	-1.35848-1.37105	-0.78992
02/21/2023 07:45 PM	Stoke City Swansea City	21.7% 53.4%	24.8%	+251 +124 +240 +120	3 1	-1.28939-1.27418	-1.52726
02/21/2023 07:45 PM	Birmingham City Norwich City	11.1% 69.9%	19.0%	+490 -154 +455 -160	1 3	-0.53207-0.53618	-0.35872
02/21/2023 07:45 PM	Burnley Millwall	54.3% 20.0%	25.8%	+145 +223 +140 +220	1 1	-1.18643-1.18185	-1.35534
02/20/2023 08:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Watford	29.2% 43.0%	27.7%	+174 +178 +165 +175	2 3	-1.06372-1.06372	-0.84283
02/18/2023 03:00 PM	Coventry City Rotherham United	30.7% 41.5%	27.8%	+120 +240 +110 +245	2 0	-0.83884-0.79239	-1.18058
02/18/2023 03:00 PM	Swansea City Blackburn	41.1% 31.6%	27.3%	+145 +190 +150 +185	0 1	-1.12362-1.09551	-1.15360
02/18/2023 03:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Middlesbrough	29.1% 44.4%	26.5%	+440 -165 +485 -175	1 3	-0.53001-0.50192	-0.81234
02/18/2023 03:00 PM	Birmingham City Huddersfield	26.7% 46.7%	26.6%	+160 +200 +175 +180	1 2	-1.15075-1.07713	-0.76211
02/18/2023 03:00 PM	Burnley Luton Town	62.5% 15.5%	21.9%	+142 +225 +125 +245	1 0	-0.91664-0.86140	-0.46954
02/18/2023 03:00 PM	Preston North End Hull City	30.1% 43.8%	26.2%	+285 +105 +295 +100	0 0	-1.22146-1.25931	-1.34037
02/17/2023 08:00 PM	Reading Cardiff City	31.1% 42.3%	26.6%	+381 -110 +310 +100	0 1	-0.67213-0.74345	-0.86015
02/15/2023 08:00 PM	Blackburn West Bromwich Albion	28.5% 45.6%	25.9%	+516 -161 +490 -160	1 1	-1.39983-1.37200	-1.35166
02/15/2023 07:45 PM	Wigan Athletic Bristol City	11.8% 70.2%	18.0%	+295 +105 +325 -105	1 1	-1.20421-1.24320	-1.71585
02/15/2023 07:45 PM	Huddersfield Stoke City	22.6% 52.4%	24.9%	+401 -119 +385 -120	0 3	-0.64472-0.65508	-0.64590

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.