England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+245
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+247

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+157
+155

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3+100
u3-120

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+224
+117

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-112
u2½-108

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+158
+170

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-115
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Coventry City
Queens Park Rangers		35.1%
36.4%		28.4%
+144
+190
+135
+205
1
1		-1.27140-1.25956-1.25825
Bristol City
Stoke City		30.8%
41.6%		27.5%
+200
+130
+185
+150
2
2		-1.29474-1.25716-1.28946
Swansea City
Sheffield Wednesday		51.4%
22.5%		26.0%
+260
+105
+270
+105
0
0		-1.29233-1.27461-1.34596
Norwich City
Preston North End		47.9%
25.3%		26.9%
+155
+176
+170
+170
2
2		-1.23898-1.22595-1.31427
Norwich City
Stoke City		44.4%
27.8%		27.8%
+160
+155
+160
+165
1
1		-1.34423-1.28888-1.27999
Derby County
Millwall		27.2%
44.4%		28.4%
+310
-105
+295
+100
1
1		-1.22950-1.25931-1.25773
Bristol City
Middlesbrough		34.6%
36.4%		29.0%
+400
-155
+380
-145
2
0		-1.67169-1.61757-1.06106
Swansea City
Blackburn		41.1%
31.6%		27.3%
+230
+112
+230
+120
0
1		-0.80629-0.83480-1.15360
Coventry City
Preston North End		30.2%
41.4%		28.4%
+145
+185
+145
+195
0
1		-1.09910-1.12646-0.88307
Watford
Luton Town		50.8%
23.2%		26.0%
+280
-105
+260
+105
0
3		-0.72081-0.76787-1.46059
Cardiff City
Bristol City		35.6%
36.6%		27.9%
+360
-137
+375
-140
1
1		-1.39195-1.41001-1.27715
Millwall
West Bromwich Albion		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%
+340
-120
+345
-120
0
0		-1.28848-1.31751-1.33041
Middlesbrough
Watford		19.2%
56.0%		24.8%
+103
+245
+100
+250
1
2		-1.28634-1.30048-0.58010
Stoke City
Swansea City		21.7%
53.4%		24.8%
+205
+126
+215
+125
0
0		-1.31766-1.28884-1.39267
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County		29.8%
43.4%		26.8%
+215
+123
+225
+125
0
2		-0.86864-0.86034-0.83381
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry City		29.9%
40.8%		29.4%
+420
-132
+375
-130
2
1		-1.67970-1.60664-1.20885
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.