England Championship Predictions

Updated 6 days ago

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Games for Nov 16, 2024

Games for Nov 18, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/22/2022 02:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Millwall	39.9% 31.6%	28.5%	+174 +188 +180 +165	1 2	-1.07746-1.02521	-1.15211
10/22/2022 02:00 PM	Huddersfield Middlesbrough	26.2% 46.9%	26.8%	+440 -140 +410 -145	0 0	-1.38561-1.38482	-1.31524
10/22/2022 02:00 PM	Coventry City Stoke City	27.6% 44.7%	27.6%	+289 +110 +250 +110	2 0	-1.38290-1.30324	-1.28681
10/22/2022 02:00 PM	Bristol City Reading	30.6% 42.3%	27.1%	+175 +155 +175 +155	0 2	-0.99764-0.98481	-0.86022
10/19/2022 07:00 PM	Watford Millwall	42.3% 28.4%	29.2%	+217 +150 +180 +160	0 3	-0.94197-1.00835	-1.25709
10/19/2022 06:45 PM	Burnley Birmingham City	71.4% 10.4%	18.2%	+120 +261 +115 +255	1 1	-1.24282-1.24258	-1.70172
10/19/2022 06:45 PM	Middlesbrough Wigan Athletic	58.8% 18.3%	22.8%	+170 +200 +160 +185	4 1	-1.01918-1.00709	-0.53035
10/19/2022 06:45 PM	Cardiff City Queens Park Rangers	43.5% 30.8%	25.7%	+222 +144 +240 +120	0 3	-0.91787-0.83884	-1.17892
10/18/2022 07:00 PM	Rotherham United Stoke City	29.4% 44.2%	26.4%	+454 -135 +425 -140	1 0	-1.73761-1.70849	-1.22411
10/18/2022 07:00 PM	Bristol City West Bromwich Albion	24.0% 51.1%	24.9%	+379 -129 +375 -140	2 0	-1.59396-1.60719	-1.42707
10/18/2022 06:45 PM	Preston North End Huddersfield	40.2% 32.0%	27.8%	+187 +183 +180 +170	1 0	-1.07940-1.07852	-0.91173
10/18/2022 06:45 PM	Reading Swansea City	22.0% 53.5%	24.5%	+289 +113 +285 +105	2 3	-0.78351-0.76718	-0.62607
10/18/2022 06:45 PM	Luton Town Norwich City	16.6% 60.7%	22.7%	+318 -107 +300 -105	1 0	-1.45925-1.43309	-1.79643
10/16/2022 02:00 PM	Birmingham City Hull City	18.3% 59.7%	21.9%	+198 +167 +190 +155	2 0	-1.11621-1.11301	-1.69570
10/15/2022 02:00 PM	Swansea City Burnley	23.5% 50.1%	26.4%	+420 -140 +375 -140	0 4	-0.56493-0.59122	-0.69115
10/15/2022 02:00 PM	Millwall Bristol City	32.9% 37.9%	29.2%	+190 +155 +190 +155	2 1	-1.11773-1.11301	-1.11258

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.