England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+240
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+247

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+157
+155

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3+100
u3-120

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+224
+117

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-112
u2½-108

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+158
+170

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-115
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Bromwich Albion
Queens Park Rangers		50.4%
25.2%		24.4%
+150
+210
+150
+225
2
2		-1.14614-1.11590-1.41137
Swansea City
Watford		32.6%
37.9%		29.5%
+220
+123
+220
+125
1
1		-1.28793-1.27357-1.21993
Norwich City
Middlesbrough		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+175
+158
+175
+150
1
3		-1.00504-0.96446-1.42974
Huddersfield
Cardiff City		21.2%
55.3%		23.5%
+185
+160
+180
+175
0
1		-1.01694-1.05909-0.59289
Stoke City
Leeds United		13.4%
67.2%		19.4%
+630
-265
+700
-270
0
1		-0.38510-0.36464-0.39729
Millwall
Blackburn		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+230
+125
+245
+120
1
1		-1.21029-1.22946-1.29477
Rotherham United
Coventry City		33.4%
38.2%		28.4%
+700
-294
+800
-310
0
5		-0.36154-0.33066-0.96328
Birmingham City
Hull City		18.3%
59.7%		21.9%
+380
-150
+400
-150
1
1		-1.44299-1.43511-1.51681
Middlesbrough
Stoke City		28.0%
44.5%		27.6%
+190
+145
+185
+140
0
2		-0.93407-0.92735-0.81031
Watford
Millwall		42.3%
28.4%		29.2%
+195
+152
+195
+150
0
1		-0.97615-0.96648-1.25709
Hull City
Preston North End		35.1%
37.6%		27.3%
+140
+200
+165
+175
0
0		-1.23474-1.22622-1.29931
Blackburn
Swansea City		24.6%
50.1%		25.2%
+235
+105
+245
+100
1
2		-0.78364-0.74482-0.69053
Cardiff City
Bristol City		35.6%
36.6%		27.9%
+310
+100
+350
-105
1
0		-1.48030-1.55467-1.03401
Leeds United
Huddersfield		70.1%
11.7%		18.2%
-180
+470
-170
+465
1
1		-1.48992-1.46029-1.70496
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion		21.3%
54.1%		24.7%
+245
+113
+265
+105
1
2		-0.81236-0.76819-0.61500
Rotherham United
Queens Park Rangers		37.5%
35.7%		26.7%
+460
-145
+475
-145
1
2		-0.58304-0.57471-1.02884
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.