England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Preston North End
Leeds United 		11.8%
70.0%		18.2%
+900
-360

0.79
2.22		3.01
o2¾-110
u2¾-108

Bristol City
Queens Park Rangers 		39.2%
33.8%		27.0%
+120
+210

1.30
1.19		2.49
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Watford
West Bromwich Albion 		34.8%
36.3%		28.9%
+330
-125

1.10
1.13		2.23
o2¼-118
u2¼+100

Middlesbrough
Millwall 		27.8%
43.4%		28.7%
+125
+220

0.94
1.25		2.19
o2¼-110
u2¼+102

Stoke City
Cardiff City 		30.6%
42.4%		26.9%
+220
+120

1.11
1.36		2.47
o2¼-118
u2¼+100

Blackburn
Luton Town 		43.4%
30.0%		26.6%
+320
-115

1.40
1.11		2.51
o2¼-104
u2¼-112

Games for Apr 11, 2025
Games for Apr 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Coventry City
Blackburn		24.8%
49.2%		26.0%
+180
+150
+190
+150
2
0		-1.09243-1.11590-1.39473
Stoke City
West Bromwich Albion		25.3%
49.3%		25.5%
+285
-105
+335
-115
1
1		-1.29832-1.30203-1.36826
Preston North End
Luton Town		35.8%
35.7%		28.5%
+310
+100
+320
+105
0
0		-1.21804-1.20084-1.25527
Watford
Derby County		48.2%
24.4%		27.4%
+280
+100
+290
+110
2
0		-1.39910-1.38733-0.73058
Bristol City
Coventry City		34.7%
35.8%		29.5%
+195
+145
+220
+145
0
1		-0.94949-0.92872-1.02680
Hull City
Millwall		32.1%
40.1%		27.9%
+270
+114
+260
+120
1
0		-1.37172-1.32950-1.13734
Swansea City
Cardiff City		42.9%
30.1%		27.0%
+170
+172
+165
+190
0
3		-1.06953-1.11355-1.20148
Watford
Cardiff City		41.2%
30.9%		27.9%
+215
+125
+230
+130
1
1		-1.25681-1.21221-1.27783
Luton Town
Queens Park Rangers		33.6%
39.4%		27.1%
+220
+140
+220
+140
1
2		-0.90716-0.92591-0.93267
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday		37.3%
32.5%		30.2%
+235
+133
+245
+130
2
2		-1.14633-1.17756-1.19730
Coventry City
Norwich City		18.0%
57.3%		24.7%
+255
+105
+260
+120
1
2		-0.77158-0.81455-0.55670
Cardiff City
Middlesbrough		38.4%
33.5%		28.1%
+480
-180
+475
-180
1
1		-1.46850-1.49767-1.26926
Leeds United
Hull City		60.6%
18.0%		21.4%
-190
+500
-190
+550
3
3		-1.46521-1.47190-1.54201
Derby County
Bristol City		28.6%
43.8%		27.5%
+360
-125
+360
-115
0
1		-0.65680-0.67525-0.82508
West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City		28.4%
44.8%		26.8%
+215
+130
+185
+155
1
1		-1.21476-1.22816-1.31602
Burnley
Blackburn		51.8%
22.9%		25.2%
+135
+270
+125
+260
1
0		-0.88312-0.85982-0.65707
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73-0-4 (0.714)0-1.05200 
Sportsbooks73-0-4 (0.714)0-1.03928 
DRatings72-1-4 (0.571)0-1.10421
-0.05221
-0.06493

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.