England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City 		15.9%
63.0%		21.2%
+340
-130
+355
-130
0.86
1.96		2.82
o2½-108
u2½-108

Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End 		28.7%
43.6%		27.7%
+195
+145
+205
+150
1.02
1.32		2.34
o2¼+103
u2¼-120

Hull City
Blackburn 		29.2%
45.4%		25.4%
+270
+100
+275
+105
1.17
1.52		2.69
o2¼-117
u2¼-102

Millwall
Coventry City 		35.3%
34.0%		30.6%
+340
-125
+345
-125
1.02
1.00		2.02
o2¼-105
u2¼-115

Luton Town
Swansea City 		16.7%
61.2%		22.0%
+225
+120
+230
+115
0.86
1.87		2.73
o2½+102
u2½-121

Cardiff City
Watford 		24.2%
50.1%		25.7%
+270
+100
+270
+100
0.98
1.53		2.51
o2½-112
u2½-108

Leeds United
Derby County 		64.1%
14.9%		21.0%
-156
+440
-165
+455
1.96
0.81		2.77
o2¼-120
u2¼+102

Burnley
Middlesbrough 		59.2%
17.1%		23.7%
+200
+140
+200
+140
1.71
0.79		2.50
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Games for Dec 28, 2024
Games for Jan 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Luton Town		50.8%
23.2%		26.0%
+280
-105
+260
+105
0
3		-0.72081-0.76787-1.46059
Cardiff City
Bristol City		35.6%
36.6%		27.9%
+360
-137
+375
-140
1
1		-1.39195-1.41001-1.27715
Millwall
West Bromwich Albion		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%
+340
-120
+345
-120
0
0		-1.28848-1.31751-1.33041
Middlesbrough
Watford		19.2%
56.0%		24.8%
+103
+245
+100
+250
1
2		-1.28634-1.30048-0.58010
Stoke City
Swansea City		21.7%
53.4%		24.8%
+205
+126
+215
+125
0
0		-1.31766-1.28884-1.39267
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County		29.8%
43.4%		26.8%
+215
+123
+225
+125
0
2		-0.86864-0.86034-0.83381
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry City		29.9%
40.8%		29.4%
+420
-132
+375
-130
2
1		-1.67970-1.60664-1.20885
Preston North End
Burnley		13.3%
66.3%		20.4%
+380
-128
+400
-125
0
0		-1.27497-1.30354-1.59209
Hull City
Norwich City		21.3%
54.6%		24.1%
+255
+105
+255
+100
0
4		-0.74997-0.74381-0.60598
Sheffield Wednesday
Bristol City		27.4%
45.3%		27.3%
+240
+111
+250
+105
0
0		-1.29466-1.33094-1.29788
Watford
Preston North End		46.4%
26.5%		27.2%
+179
+145
+180
+150
0
3		-0.96774-0.96627-1.32988
Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion		21.6%
54.0%		24.4%
+200
+138
+220
+130
1
0		-1.14933-1.20371-1.53428
Blackburn
Coventry City		40.3%
31.6%		28.1%
+260
+105
+245
+115
0
3		-0.77180-0.81340-1.15334
Hull City
Queens Park Rangers		41.1%
33.0%		25.9%
+165
+155
+165
+165
3
1		-1.03223-1.02223-0.88906
Millwall
Cardiff City		30.1%
42.1%		27.7%
+130
+220
+150
+210
0
1		-1.23069-1.18061-0.86491
Bristol City
Swansea City		20.6%
55.2%		24.2%
+185
+136
+195
+135
1
1		-1.31134-1.30177-1.41795
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.