England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Birmingham City
Norwich City 		11.1%
69.9%		19.0%
+288
-112

0.69
2.08		2.77
o2½-128
u2½+108

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County 		45.9%
27.3%		26.8%
+120
+232

1.41
1.03		2.44
o2½-108
u2½-112

Queens Park Rangers
Charlton Athletic 		34.5%
38.6%		27.0%
+130
+224

1.21
1.29		2.50
o2½-108
u2½-112

Games for Sep 8, 2026
Games for Sep 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Birmingham City
Millwall		18.3%
57.6%		24.1%
+175
+170
+185
+155
0
3		-1.02786-0.98556-0.55094
Bristol City
Blackburn		27.9%
46.2%		25.9%
+208
+144
+210
+140
2
1		-1.16002-1.18185-1.27787
Charlton Athletic
West Bromwich Albion		17.5%
60.8%		21.7%
+325
-113
+310
-105
1
1		-1.28197-1.27279-1.52989
Derby County
Hull City		27.9%
45.9%		26.2%
+210
+135
+185
+150
2
4		-0.89578-0.96451-0.77777
Preston North End
Swansea City		19.5%
57.0%		23.5%
+355
-126
+350
-130
1
1		-1.35480-1.38438-1.44774
Birmingham City
Norwich City		11.1%
69.9%		19.0%
+185
+160
+160
+175
2
1		-1.08335-1.00550-2.19526
Derby County
Watford		18.6%
56.7%		24.6%
+280
+102
+245
+115
0
2		-0.74608-0.81340-0.56722
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion		21.3%
54.1%		24.7%
+100
+270
+110
+250
2
0		-0.74007-0.79239-1.54773
Queens Park Rangers
Hull City		25.7%
50.4%		23.9%
+208
+140
+205
+140
3
1		-1.15976-1.16603-1.36016
Bristol City
Swansea City		20.6%
55.2%		24.2%
+280
-101
+245
+115
0
1		-0.73827-0.81340-0.59426
Preston North End
Blackburn		26.5%
47.9%		25.5%
+260
+114
+260
+115
0
1		-0.81222-0.81482-0.73518
Middlesbrough
Coventry City		31.8%
38.6%		29.6%
+216
+134
+205
+130
1
3		-0.87924-0.88409-0.95143
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday		37.3%
32.5%		30.2%
-303
+850
-320
+900
2
1		-0.32341-0.32128-0.98695
Watford
Preston North End		46.4%
26.5%		27.2%
+152
+200
+155
+195
2
2		-1.21365-1.19485-1.30379
Blackburn
Queens Park Rangers		45.4%
29.2%		25.4%
+240
+131
+240
+130
3
1		-1.25882-1.27397-0.78992
Swansea City
Derby County		50.0%
23.6%		26.3%
+195
+150
+190
+155
0
2		-0.97604-0.98438-1.44219
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10244 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95340
0.14903

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.