Birmingham City at Watford

Updated

Birmingham City

11.8%19.4%68.8%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.06
0Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Millwall+140
W 2-0 at Bristol City+230
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+245
T 1-1 at Swansea City+320
L 0-2 at Coventry City+550
Watford
Money Line
T 3-3 at Coventry City+225
L 1-0 vs Blackburn+120
L 0-1 at Stoke City+220
W 0-4 vs Queens Park Rangers-115
W 0-2 vs Stoke City+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+275+303+275+250-+250+303-
Watford-105+104+100-104--104+104-
Draw+250+246+240+235-+235+246-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+280---+260+290+290-
Watford+100----115+100+100-
Draw+250---+220+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +250 to +240
Watford ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +275 to +260
Watford ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½+107o2¼-122o2¼-119-o2¼-119o2¼-119-
Underu2¼+105u2½-127u2¼+102u2¼-101-u2¼-101u2½-127-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.28%
Exactly 224.05%
Exactly 415.36%
Exactly 63.92%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.38%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.50%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 049.12%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 212.41%
Exactly 32.94%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 012.78%
Exactly 126.29%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.55%
Exactly 49.54%
Exactly 53.92%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.76%
Exactly 222.80%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 39.74%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 071.95%
Exactly 123.68%
Exactly 23.90%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 038.58%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.50%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals3.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.58%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals43.81%
Wins by 3+ goals22.75%
Wins by 4+ goals9.78%
Wins by 5+ goals3.54%
Wins by 6+ goals1.09%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Watford
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal8.62%
Wins by 2 goals2.50%
Wins by 3 goals0.51%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.96%
Wins by 2 goals21.07%
Wins by 3 goals12.97%
Wins by 4 goals6.23%
Wins by 5 goals2.45%
Wins by 6 goals0.81%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.72%6.28%
1.576.34%23.66%
2.552.29%47.71%
3.530.10%69.90%
4.514.74%85.26%
5.56.24%93.76%
6.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.88%49.12%
1.515.96%84.04%
2.53.55%96.45%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.22%12.78%
1.560.93%39.07%
2.533.88%66.12%
3.515.33%84.67%
4.55.80%94.20%
5.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.24%27.76%
1.536.67%63.33%
2.513.87%86.13%
3.54.13%95.87%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Watford
Score012345
0
6.28%
12.92%
13.29%
9.11%
4.69%
1.93%
1
4.46%
9.18%
9.44%
6.48%
3.33%
1.37%
2
1.59%
3.26%
3.36%
2.30%
1.18%
0.49%
3
0.38%
0.77%
0.80%
0.55%
0.28%
0.12%
Birmingham City
1-04.46%
2-01.59%
2-13.26%
3-00.38%
3-10.77%
3-20.80%
Draw
0-06.28%
1-19.18%
2-23.36%
3-30.55%
Watford
0-112.92%
0-213.29%
1-29.44%
0-39.11%
1-36.48%
2-32.30%
0-44.69%
1-43.33%
2-41.18%
3-40.28%
0-51.93%
1-51.37%
2-50.49%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Watford
Score012345
0
27.76%
26.44%
12.59%
4.00%
0.95%
0.18%
1
9.14%
8.70%
4.14%
1.32%
0.31%
0.06%
2
1.50%
1.43%
0.68%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-09.14%
2-01.50%
2-11.43%
3-00.16%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-027.76%
1-18.70%
2-20.68%
Watford
0-126.44%
0-212.59%
1-24.14%
0-34.00%
1-31.32%
2-30.22%
0-40.95%
1-40.31%
0-50.18%
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