Watford at Burnley

Updated

Watford

22.5%26.9%50.6%
Watford WinDrawBurnley Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.44
1Final Score 2

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+165
T 1-1 at Hull City+200
T 0-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-125
W 0-1 vs Bristol City+125
L 0-1 at Swansea City+300
Burnley
Money Line
W 2-1 at Norwich City+165
T 0-0 vs Derby County-135
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough+145
W 2-0 at Stoke City+130
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+390-+420+355-+355+420-
Burnley-150--145-137--137-137-
Draw+275-+245+255-+255+255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+415---+365+400+400-
Burnley-145----165-140-140-
Draw+280---+245+270+270-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +365 to +355
Burnley ML moved from -141 to -147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +390 to +365
Burnley ML moved from -145 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115-o2¼-110o2¼-112-o2¼-112o2¼-110-
Underu2¼-105-u2¼-110u2¼-108-u2¼-108u2¼-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.08%
Exactly 226.54%
Exactly 411.64%
Exactly 62.04%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.14%
Exactly 320.29%
Exactly 55.34%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 042.40%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.61%
Exactly 34.46%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 023.78%
Exactly 134.16%
Exactly 224.53%
Exactly 311.74%
Exactly 44.22%
Exactly 51.21%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.57%
Exactly 219.50%
Exactly 41.83%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.90%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 067.22%
Exactly 126.70%
Exactly 25.30%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 051.43%
Exactly 134.20%
Exactly 211.37%
Exactly 32.52%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals7.24%
Wins by 3+ goals1.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals25.12%
Wins by 3+ goals9.73%
Wins by 4+ goals3.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal15.20%
Wins by 2 goals5.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal25.44%
Wins by 2 goals15.39%
Wins by 3 goals6.72%
Wins by 4 goals2.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.92%10.08%
1.566.78%33.22%
2.540.24%59.76%
3.519.95%80.05%
4.58.31%91.69%
5.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.60%42.40%
1.521.22%78.78%
2.55.61%94.39%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.22%23.78%
1.542.06%57.94%
2.517.53%82.47%
3.55.79%94.21%
4.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.43%34.57%
1.528.71%71.29%
2.59.21%90.79%
3.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Burnley
Score012345
0
10.08%
14.48%
10.40%
4.98%
1.79%
0.51%
1
8.65%
12.43%
8.92%
4.27%
1.53%
0.44%
2
3.71%
5.33%
3.83%
1.83%
0.66%
0.19%
3
1.06%
1.52%
1.09%
0.52%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.23%
0.33%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-08.65%
2-03.71%
2-15.33%
3-01.06%
3-11.52%
3-21.09%
4-00.23%
4-10.33%
4-20.23%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-010.08%
1-112.43%
2-23.83%
3-30.52%
Burnley
0-114.48%
0-210.40%
1-28.92%
0-34.98%
1-34.27%
2-31.83%
0-41.79%
1-41.53%
2-40.66%
3-40.19%
0-50.51%
1-50.44%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Burnley
Score01234
0
34.57%
22.99%
7.64%
1.69%
0.28%
1
13.73%
9.13%
3.04%
0.67%
0.11%
2
2.73%
1.81%
0.60%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.36%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-013.73%
2-02.73%
2-11.81%
3-00.36%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-034.57%
1-19.13%
2-20.60%
Burnley
0-122.99%
0-27.64%
1-23.04%
0-31.69%
1-30.67%
2-30.13%
0-40.28%
1-40.11%