West Bromwich Albion at Birmingham City

Updated 449 days ago

07:00 PM • Oct 6, 2023

West Bromwich Albion

59.5%22.4%18.1%

West Bromwich Albion WinDrawWin

1.84Projected Goals 0.91

1Final Score 3

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

West Bromwich Albion		Money Line
W 0-1	10/03 vs Sheffield Wednesday	-175
W 4-0	9/30 at Preston North End	+195
T 0-0	9/23 vs Millwall	+110
T 2-2	9/20 at Watford	+230
T 0-0	9/16 at Bristol City	+215

Birmingham City		Money Line
W 1-4	10/03 vs Huddersfield	+115
L 0-2	9/30 at Norwich City	+310
L 1-2	9/19 at Preston North End	+240
L 0-2	9/16 at Watford	+290
T 1-1	9/02 vs Millwall	+140

Money Line Analysis

:2.5%:4.9%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
West Bromwich Albion	+195	+165	+155	+156	-	+156	+165	-
Birmingham City	+140	+195	+175	+175	-	+175	+195	-
Draw	+220	+223	+205	+205	-	+205	+223	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
West Bromwich Albion	+160	-	-	-	+145	+165	+165	-
Birmingham City	+145	-	-	-	+165	+180	+180	-
Draw	+200	-	-	-	+195	+215	+215	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

West Bromwich Albion: 70.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

West Bromwich Albion: 50.0%

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

West Bromwich Albion: 20.0%

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

West Bromwich Albion: 0.0%

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

West Bromwich Albion ML moved from +165 to +15510/06/2023
06:14 PM

Birmingham City ML moved from +170 to +16410/06/2023
04:23 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

West Bromwich Albion: 60.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

West Bromwich Albion: 50.0%

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

West Bromwich Albion: 10.0%

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

West Bromwich Albion: 0.0%

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

West Bromwich Albion ML moved from +160 to +15010/06/2023
12:46 PM

No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

:0.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-122	o2½+129	o2¼-102	o2¼+104	-	o2¼+104	o2¼+104	-
Under	u2¼+102	u2½-149	u2¼-118	u2¼-124	-	u2¼-124	u2½-149	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-104 to o2½+11410/05/2023
07:43 AM

The Under moved from u2½-134 to u2¼-11610/05/2023
07:52 AM

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	50.2%


No	49.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.39%
Exactly 2	24.17%
Exactly 4	15.24%
Exactly 6	3.84%
Exactly 8	0.52%


Exactly 1	17.57%
Exactly 3	22.16%
Exactly 5	8.38%
Exactly 7	1.51%
Exactly 9	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 0	15.80%
Exactly 1	29.15%
Exactly 2	26.90%
Exactly 3	16.54%
Exactly 4	7.63%
Exactly 5	2.82%
Exactly 6	0.87%
Exactly 7	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 0	40.43%
Exactly 1	36.61%
Exactly 2	16.58%
Exactly 3	5.00%
Exactly 4	1.13%
Exactly 5	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	27.98%
Exactly 2	22.69%
Exactly 4	3.07%
Exactly 6	0.17%


Exactly 1	35.64%
Exactly 3	9.63%
Exactly 5	0.78%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 0	42.56%
Exactly 1	36.36%
Exactly 2	15.53%
Exactly 3	4.42%
Exactly 4	0.94%
Exactly 5	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 0	65.75%
Exactly 1	27.57%
Exactly 2	5.78%
Exactly 3	0.81%

Alternate Props

Spread

West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals	34.63%
Wins by 3+ goals	16.29%
Wins by 4+ goals	6.29%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.02%

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals	5.86%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.45%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

West Bromwich Albion

Birmingham City

West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal	24.79%
Wins by 2 goals	18.35%
Wins by 3 goals	9.99%
Wins by 4 goals	4.27%
Wins by 5 goals	1.49%

Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal	12.17%
Wins by 2 goals	4.42%
Wins by 3 goals	1.18%
Wins by 4 goals	0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.61%	6.39%
1.5	76.04%	23.96%
2.5	51.87%	48.13%
3.5	29.71%	70.29%
4.5	14.47%	85.53%
5.5	6.09%	93.91%
6.5	2.25%	97.75%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	84.20%	15.80%
1.5	55.05%	44.95%
2.5	28.15%	71.85%
3.5	11.61%	88.39%
4.5	3.98%	96.02%
5.5	1.16%	98.84%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.57%	40.43%
1.5	22.96%	77.04%
2.5	6.38%	93.62%
3.5	1.37%	98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.02%	27.98%
1.5	36.38%	63.62%
2.5	13.68%	86.32%
3.5	4.05%	95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

West Bromwich Albion

Birmingham City

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.39%	5.79%	2.62%	0.79%	0.18%
1	11.79%	10.67%	4.83%	1.46%	0.33%
2	10.87%	9.85%	4.46%	1.35%	0.30%
3	6.69%	6.06%	2.74%	0.83%	0.19%
4	3.09%	2.79%	1.27%	0.38%	0.09%
5	1.14%	1.03%	0.47%	0.14%	0.03%

West Bromwich Albion
1-0	11.79%
2-0	10.87%
2-1	9.85%
3-0	6.69%
3-1	6.06%
3-2	2.74%
4-0	3.09%
4-1	2.79%
4-2	1.27%
4-3	0.38%
5-0	1.14%
5-1	1.03%
5-2	0.47%
5-3	0.14%

Draw
0-0	6.39%
1-1	10.67%
2-2	4.46%
3-3	0.83%

Birmingham City
0-1	5.79%
0-2	2.62%
1-2	4.83%
0-3	0.79%
1-3	1.46%
2-3	1.35%
0-4	0.18%
1-4	0.33%
2-4	0.30%
3-4	0.19%

Correct Score - First Half

West Bromwich Albion

Birmingham City

Score	0	1	2	3
0	27.98%	11.73%	2.46%	0.34%
1	23.91%	10.02%	2.10%	0.29%
2	10.21%	4.28%	0.90%	0.13%
3	2.91%	1.22%	0.26%	0.04%
4	0.62%	0.26%	0.05%	0.01%
5	0.11%	0.04%	0.01%	0.00%

West Bromwich Albion
1-0	23.91%
2-0	10.21%
2-1	4.28%
3-0	2.91%
3-1	1.22%
3-2	0.26%
4-0	0.62%
4-1	0.26%
5-0	0.11%

Draw
0-0	27.98%
1-1	10.02%
2-2	0.90%

Birmingham City
0-1	11.73%
0-2	2.46%
1-2	2.10%
0-3	0.34%
1-3	0.29%
2-3	0.13%

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