Manchester City at Leeds United

Updated

Manchester City

76.2%15.2%8.6%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.50Projected Goals 0.72

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Newcastle United-190
W 0-3 vs Fulham-285
W 2-1 at Liverpool+208
T 2-2 at Tottenham-146
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-350
Leeds United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Aston Villa+350
T 2-2 at Chelsea+525
L 4-0 vs Arsenal+555
T 1-1 at Everton+202
W 0-1 vs Fulham+133

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-168--168-165--165-165-
Leeds United+390-+420+429-+429+429-
Draw+345-+325+348-+348+348-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-170--175--200-180-175-
Leeds United+400-+415-+400+425+425-
Draw+350-+350-+350+360+360-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 40.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -162 to -170
Leeds United ML moved from +440 to +429

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 40.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -170 to -180
Leeds United ML moved from +435 to +425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125-o2¾-115o2¾-116-o2¾-116o2¾-115-
Underu2¾+105-u2¾-105u2¾+100-u2¾+100u2¾+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-150o3+105o3+105-o3+100o3+105o3+105-
Underu2½+130u3-125u3-125-u3-130u3-125u3-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-150 to o3-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.01%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 417.88%
Exactly 66.17%
Exactly 81.14%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.90%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 511.50%
Exactly 72.83%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 08.23%
Exactly 120.56%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 321.36%
Exactly 413.33%
Exactly 56.66%
Exactly 62.77%
Exactly 70.99%
Exactly 80.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 048.71%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.60%
Exactly 33.02%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.56%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 44.62%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.59%
Exactly 312.41%
Exactly 51.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 031.47%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.03%
Exactly 38.10%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 071.67%
Exactly 123.87%
Exactly 23.98%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals53.92%
Wins by 3+ goals32.04%
Wins by 4+ goals16.03%
Wins by 5+ goals6.82%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals2.20%
Wins by 3+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal22.14%
Wins by 2 goals21.88%
Wins by 3 goals16.01%
Wins by 4 goals9.21%
Wins by 5 goals4.35%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal6.37%
Wins by 2 goals1.80%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.99%4.01%
1.583.09%16.91%
2.562.35%37.65%
3.540.11%59.89%
4.522.23%77.77%
5.510.73%89.27%
6.54.56%95.44%
7.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.77%8.23%
1.571.20%28.80%
2.545.54%54.46%
3.524.17%75.83%
4.510.84%89.16%
5.54.18%95.82%
6.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.29%48.71%
1.516.26%83.74%
2.53.65%96.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.44%22.56%
1.543.85%56.15%
2.518.84%81.16%
3.56.43%93.57%
4.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Leeds United
Score0123
0
4.01%
2.89%
1.04%
0.25%
1
10.01%
7.20%
2.59%
0.62%
2
12.50%
8.99%
3.23%
0.78%
3
10.40%
7.48%
2.69%
0.65%
4
6.49%
4.67%
1.68%
0.40%
5
3.24%
2.33%
0.84%
0.20%
Manchester City
1-010.01%
2-012.50%
2-18.99%
3-010.40%
3-17.48%
3-22.69%
4-06.49%
4-14.67%
4-21.68%
4-30.40%
5-03.24%
5-12.33%
5-20.84%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-04.01%
1-17.20%
2-23.23%
3-30.65%
Leeds United
0-12.89%
0-21.04%
1-22.59%
0-30.25%
1-30.62%
2-30.78%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Leeds United
Score0123
0
22.56%
7.51%
1.25%
0.14%
1
26.08%
8.69%
1.45%
0.16%
2
15.07%
5.02%
0.84%
0.09%
3
5.81%
1.93%
0.32%
0.04%
4
1.68%
0.56%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.39%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-026.08%
2-015.07%
2-15.02%
3-05.81%
3-11.93%
3-20.32%
4-01.68%
4-10.56%
5-00.39%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-022.56%
1-18.69%
2-20.84%
Leeds United
0-17.51%
0-21.25%
1-21.45%
0-30.14%
1-30.16%