Southampton at Aston Villa

Updated

Southampton

33.5%26.2%40.3%
Southampton WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.38
0Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Chelsea+790
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+665
L 3-2 vs Liverpool+870
L 0-2 at Wolverhampton+315
W 0-1 vs Everton+170
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-3 at Chelsea+350
T 2-2 vs Crystal Palace-135
L 0-2 at Liverpool+600
L 1-4 at Tottenham+260
T 1-1 vs Bournemouth-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+575-+800+785-+785+800-
Aston Villa-245--325-285--285-285-
Draw+420-+460+450-+450+460-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+595-+810-+800+775+810-
Aston Villa-252--330--355-320-320-
Draw+405-+475-+415+465+475-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 60.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +800 to +785
Aston Villa ML moved from -315 to -325

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 60.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +770 to +745
Aston Villa ML moved from -310 to -330

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110-o3¼-105o3¼+100-o3¼+100o3¼+100-
Underu3-110-u3¼-115u3¼-116-u3¼-116u3¼-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-125o3½+115-o3½+110o3½+115o3-125-
Underu3+105u3+105u3½-135-u3½-140u3½-135u3½-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-108 to o3¼+100
The Under moved from u3¼-107 to u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3½+115
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.31%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 414.27%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 57.47%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 029.08%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 39.13%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 025.12%
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 311.04%
Exactly 43.81%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 056.45%
Exactly 132.28%
Exactly 29.23%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 052.75%
Exactly 133.74%
Exactly 210.79%
Exactly 32.30%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals14.20%
Wins by 3+ goals4.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals18.72%
Wins by 3+ goals6.84%
Wins by 4+ goals2.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal19.25%
Wins by 2 goals9.50%
Wins by 3 goals3.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.53%
Wins by 2 goals11.88%
Wins by 3 goals4.83%
Wins by 4 goals1.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.69%7.31%
1.573.58%26.42%
2.548.57%51.43%
3.526.76%73.24%
4.512.49%87.51%
5.55.03%94.97%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.92%29.08%
1.535.00%65.00%
2.512.82%87.18%
3.53.69%96.31%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.88%25.12%
1.540.17%59.83%
2.516.20%83.80%
3.55.16%94.84%
4.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.22%29.78%
1.534.15%65.85%
2.512.30%87.70%
3.53.48%96.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.31%
10.09%
6.97%
3.21%
1.11%
0.31%
1
9.02%
12.47%
8.61%
3.96%
1.37%
0.38%
2
5.57%
7.70%
5.32%
2.45%
0.85%
0.23%
3
2.29%
3.17%
2.19%
1.01%
0.35%
0.10%
4
0.71%
0.98%
0.68%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.18%
0.24%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Southampton
1-09.02%
2-05.57%
2-17.70%
3-02.29%
3-13.17%
3-22.19%
4-00.71%
4-10.98%
4-20.68%
4-30.31%
5-00.18%
5-10.24%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-07.31%
1-112.47%
2-25.32%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Aston Villa
0-110.09%
0-26.97%
1-28.61%
0-33.21%
1-33.96%
2-32.45%
0-41.11%
1-41.37%
2-40.85%
3-40.35%
0-50.31%
1-50.38%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
29.78%
19.04%
6.09%
1.30%
0.21%
1
17.03%
10.89%
3.48%
0.74%
0.12%
2
4.87%
3.11%
1.00%
0.21%
0.03%
3
0.93%
0.59%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-017.03%
2-04.87%
2-13.11%
3-00.93%
3-10.59%
3-20.19%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-029.78%
1-110.89%
2-21.00%
Aston Villa
0-119.04%
0-26.09%
1-23.48%
0-31.30%
1-30.74%
2-30.21%
0-40.21%
1-40.12%