Newcastle United at Arsenal

Updated

Newcastle United

15.8%21.1%63.1%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.96
1Final Score 4

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Bournemouth-105
W 3-1 at Aston Villa+295
L 3-2 vs Manchester City+410
W 0-3 vs Fulham-120
L 1-4 at Tottenham+235
Arsenal
Money Line
W 5-0 at Burnley-325
W 6-0 at West Ham United-200
W 1-3 vs Liverpool+120
W 0-5 vs Crystal Palace-370
W 0-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+650-+675+765-+765+765-
Arsenal-275--280-290--290-280-
Draw+440-+440+470-+470+470-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+600-+750-+590+800+800-
Arsenal-260--316--340-315-315-
Draw+440-+472-+380+460+472-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +810 to +765
Arsenal ML moved from -300 to -310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 40.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +770 to +750
Arsenal ML moved from -320 to -340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+100-o3-118o3¼-106-o3¼-106o3-118-
Underu3¼-120-u3-102u3¼-110-u3¼-110u3¼-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-140o3-140-o3-130o3-145o3-130-
Underu3+115u3+120u3+120-u3+100u3+125u3+125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-118 to o3¼-105
The Under moved from u3¼-115 to u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3-140
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.93%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 415.74%
Exactly 64.19%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.75%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.89%
Exactly 71.69%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 042.19%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.71%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 014.06%
Exactly 127.58%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.70%
Exactly 48.68%
Exactly 53.41%
Exactly 61.11%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.03%
Exactly 223.13%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 310.08%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 067.06%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 25.35%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 040.31%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.64%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals4.91%
Wins by 3+ goals1.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals38.30%
Wins by 3+ goals18.91%
Wins by 4+ goals7.70%
Wins by 5+ goals2.61%
Wins by 6+ goals0.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Arsenal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal10.86%
Wins by 2 goals3.75%
Wins by 3 goals0.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.69%
Wins by 2 goals19.39%
Wins by 3 goals11.22%
Wins by 4 goals5.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.89%
Wins by 6 goals0.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.07%5.93%
1.577.32%22.68%
2.553.65%46.35%
3.531.37%68.63%
4.515.63%84.37%
5.56.73%93.27%
6.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.81%42.19%
1.521.40%78.60%
2.55.69%94.31%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.94%14.06%
1.558.37%41.63%
2.531.31%68.69%
3.513.61%86.39%
4.54.93%95.07%
5.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.97%27.03%
1.537.60%62.40%
2.514.48%85.52%
3.54.39%95.61%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Arsenal
Score012345
0
5.93%
11.63%
11.41%
7.47%
3.66%
1.44%
1
5.12%
10.04%
9.85%
6.44%
3.16%
1.24%
2
2.21%
4.33%
4.25%
2.78%
1.36%
0.54%
3
0.64%
1.25%
1.22%
0.80%
0.39%
0.15%
4
0.14%
0.27%
0.26%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Newcastle United
1-05.12%
2-02.21%
2-14.33%
3-00.64%
3-11.25%
3-21.22%
4-00.14%
4-10.27%
4-20.26%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.93%
1-110.04%
2-24.25%
3-30.80%
Arsenal
0-111.63%
0-211.41%
1-29.85%
0-37.47%
1-36.44%
2-32.78%
0-43.66%
1-43.16%
2-41.36%
3-40.39%
0-51.44%
1-51.24%
2-50.54%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Arsenal
Score012345
0
27.03%
24.56%
11.16%
3.38%
0.77%
0.14%
1
10.80%
9.81%
4.46%
1.35%
0.31%
0.06%
2
2.16%
1.96%
0.89%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-010.80%
2-02.16%
2-11.96%
3-00.29%
3-10.26%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.03%
1-19.81%
2-20.89%
Arsenal
0-124.56%
0-211.16%
1-24.46%
0-33.38%
1-31.35%
2-30.27%
0-40.77%
1-40.31%
0-50.14%
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