Brighton and Hove Albion at Aston Villa

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

26.9%25.8%47.4%
Brighton and Hove Albion WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.51
1Final Score 6

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Bournemouth-208
W 3-1 at Manchester United+240
W 1-3 vs Newcastle United+155
L 3-1 vs West Ham United-200
W 4-1 at Wolverhampton-120
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-0 at Chelsea+310
W 1-3 vs Crystal Palace-115
L 0-3 at Liverpool+420
W 3-1 at Burnley+120
W 0-4 vs Everton-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton and Hove Albion+163+180+170+172-+172+180-
Aston Villa+145+149+145+153-+153+153-
Draw+305+274+270+267-+267+274-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton and Hove Albion+160-+167-+135+160+167-
Aston Villa+145-+144-+135+150+150-
Draw+285-+273-+260+275+275-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from +160 to +152
Aston Villa ML moved from +153 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from +158 to +151
Aston Villa ML moved from +155 to +142

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-111o3½+125o3¼-105o3¼+101-o3¼+101o3¼+101-
Underu3¼-105u3½-140u3¼-115u3¼-117-u3¼-117u3½-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3½+105o3-135-o3½+100o3½+115o3-135-
Underu3½-125u3½-125u3+115-u3½-130u3½-135u3½-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.58%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 413.98%
Exactly 63.10%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.56%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 57.21%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 034.31%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.63%
Exactly 37.00%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 022.10%
Exactly 133.36%
Exactly 225.18%
Exactly 312.67%
Exactly 44.78%
Exactly 51.44%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.30%
Exactly 221.60%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.60%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 060.94%
Exactly 130.18%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 049.71%
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 212.14%
Exactly 32.83%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals10.10%
Wins by 3+ goals2.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals23.74%
Wins by 3+ goals9.41%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal16.68%
Wins by 2 goals7.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.54%
Wins by 2 goals14.34%
Wins by 3 goals6.41%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.42%7.58%
1.572.86%27.14%
2.547.63%52.37%
3.525.95%74.05%
4.511.96%88.04%
5.54.75%95.25%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.69%34.31%
1.528.98%71.02%
2.59.35%90.65%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.90%22.10%
1.544.53%55.47%
2.519.35%80.65%
3.56.68%93.32%
4.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.70%30.30%
1.533.53%66.47%
2.511.92%88.08%
3.53.33%96.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.58%
11.45%
8.64%
4.35%
1.64%
0.50%
1
8.11%
12.25%
9.24%
4.65%
1.75%
0.53%
2
4.34%
6.55%
4.94%
2.49%
0.94%
0.28%
3
1.55%
2.34%
1.76%
0.89%
0.33%
0.10%
4
0.41%
0.62%
0.47%
0.24%
0.09%
0.03%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-08.11%
2-04.34%
2-16.55%
3-01.55%
3-12.34%
3-21.76%
4-00.41%
4-10.62%
4-20.47%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-07.58%
1-112.25%
2-24.94%
3-30.89%
Aston Villa
0-111.45%
0-28.64%
1-29.24%
0-34.35%
1-34.65%
2-32.49%
0-41.64%
1-41.75%
2-40.94%
3-40.33%
0-50.50%
1-50.53%
2-50.28%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
30.30%
21.17%
7.40%
1.72%
0.30%
1
15.00%
10.49%
3.66%
0.85%
0.15%
2
3.72%
2.60%
0.91%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.61%
0.43%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-015.00%
2-03.72%
2-12.60%
3-00.61%
3-10.43%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-030.30%
1-110.49%
2-20.91%
Aston Villa
0-121.17%
0-27.40%
1-23.66%
0-31.72%
1-30.85%
2-30.21%
0-40.30%
1-40.15%
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