Aston Villa at Watford

Updated

Aston Villa

49.2%23.9%26.8%
Aston Villa WinDrawWatford Win
1.70Projected Goals 0.93
2Final Score 3

Watford

Last Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+610
W 2-1 at Tottenham+435
L 2-3 at Crystal Palace+130
T 0-0 vs Everton+195
L 3-1 vs Manchester United+340
Watford
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+104-+120+120+119+120+120-
Watford+215-+245+260+246+260+260-
Draw+240-+225+230+217+230+230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+120-+116-+110+120+120-
Watford+240-+252-+215+250+252-
Draw+230-+227-+200+225+227-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +128 to +120
Watford ML moved from +252 to +246

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +128 to +122
Watford ML moved from +260 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2¼-115o2½+115-o2½+115o2½-106-
Underu2½-110-u2¼-105u2½-135-u2½-135u2½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+115-o2½-110o2½+100-
Underu2½-135u2½-135-u2½-120u2½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.18%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 414.39%
Exactly 63.33%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.92%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.58%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 018.19%
Exactly 131.00%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 315.01%
Exactly 46.40%
Exactly 52.18%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 039.50%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.04%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.54%
Exactly 221.96%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.93%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 045.42%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 214.15%
Exactly 33.72%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 065.04%
Exactly 127.98%
Exactly 26.02%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals30.75%
Wins by 3+ goals13.60%
Wins by 4+ goals4.91%
Wins by 5+ goals1.47%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals6.83%
Wins by 3+ goals1.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.86%
Wins by 2 goals17.16%
Wins by 3 goals8.68%
Wins by 4 goals3.44%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal13.55%
Wins by 2 goals5.09%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.82%7.18%
1.573.90%26.10%
2.549.00%51.00%
3.527.13%72.87%
4.512.74%87.26%
5.55.15%94.85%
6.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.81%18.19%
1.550.82%49.18%
2.524.40%75.60%
3.59.39%90.61%
4.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.50%39.50%
1.523.81%76.19%
2.56.77%93.23%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.46%29.54%
1.534.43%65.57%
2.512.47%87.53%
3.53.55%96.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Watford
Score01234
0
7.18%
6.67%
3.10%
0.96%
0.22%
1
12.24%
11.37%
5.28%
1.64%
0.38%
2
10.43%
9.69%
4.50%
1.39%
0.32%
3
5.93%
5.51%
2.56%
0.79%
0.18%
4
2.53%
2.35%
1.09%
0.34%
0.08%
5
0.86%
0.80%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
Aston Villa
1-012.24%
2-010.43%
2-19.69%
3-05.93%
3-15.51%
3-22.56%
4-02.53%
4-12.35%
4-21.09%
4-30.34%
5-00.86%
5-10.80%
5-20.37%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.18%
1-111.37%
2-24.50%
3-30.79%
Watford
0-16.67%
0-23.10%
1-25.28%
0-30.96%
1-31.64%
2-31.39%
0-40.22%
1-40.38%
2-40.32%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Watford
Score0123
0
29.54%
12.71%
2.73%
0.39%
1
23.32%
10.03%
2.16%
0.31%
2
9.20%
3.96%
0.85%
0.12%
3
2.42%
1.04%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.48%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-023.32%
2-09.20%
2-13.96%
3-02.42%
3-11.04%
3-20.22%
4-00.48%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-029.54%
1-110.03%
2-20.85%
Watford
0-112.71%
0-22.73%
1-22.16%
0-30.39%
1-30.31%
2-30.12%