Liverpool at Newcastle United

Updated

Liverpool

70.6%17.9%11.5%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.25Projected Goals 0.78
3Final Score 3

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Manchester City+100
W 3-2 at Southampton-325
W 0-2 vs Aston Villa-220
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-268
T 2-2 at Arsenal+230
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+125
L 2-0 vs West Ham United-215
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+275
L 1-2 at Chelsea+320
L 1-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-105-+100+100-+100+100-
Newcastle United+255-+250+270-+270+270-
Draw+290-+285+277-+278+285-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-125-+100--130+100+100-
Newcastle United+320-+250-+290+270+290-
Draw+290-+275-+290+260+290-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 50.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +100 to -101
Newcastle United ML moved from +277 to +270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 40.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -125 to -135
Newcastle United ML moved from +300 to +270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115-o3-102o3+103-o3+103o3+103-
Underu3-105-u3-118u3-119-u3-119u3-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3+100o3+100-o3-105o3+100o3+100-
Underu3-110u3-120u3-120-u3-125u3-120u3-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.84%
Exactly 222.19%
Exactly 416.96%
Exactly 65.19%
Exactly 80.85%
 
Exactly 114.65%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.28%
Exactly 72.24%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 010.57%
Exactly 123.76%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 411.23%
Exactly 55.04%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 045.73%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 214.00%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.60%
Exactly 224.19%
Exactly 43.97%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 311.31%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 035.34%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 069.61%
Exactly 125.22%
Exactly 24.57%
Exactly 30.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals46.88%
Wins by 3+ goals25.76%
Wins by 4+ goals11.82%
Wins by 5+ goals4.59%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals3.26%
Wins by 3+ goals0.70%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal23.66%
Wins by 2 goals21.13%
Wins by 3 goals13.94%
Wins by 4 goals7.23%
Wins by 5 goals3.07%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal8.24%
Wins by 2 goals2.56%
Wins by 3 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.16%4.84%
1.580.51%19.49%
2.558.33%41.67%
3.535.93%64.07%
4.518.96%81.04%
5.58.69%91.31%
6.53.50%96.50%
7.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.43%10.57%
1.565.67%34.33%
2.538.98%61.02%
3.518.99%81.01%
4.57.76%92.24%
5.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.27%45.73%
1.518.49%81.51%
2.54.49%95.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.40%24.60%
1.540.90%59.10%
2.516.71%83.29%
3.55.40%94.60%
4.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
4.84%
3.78%
1.48%
0.39%
1
10.87%
8.50%
3.33%
0.87%
2
12.21%
9.55%
3.74%
0.97%
3
9.14%
7.15%
2.80%
0.73%
4
5.13%
4.02%
1.57%
0.41%
5
2.31%
1.80%
0.71%
0.18%
Liverpool
1-010.87%
2-012.21%
2-19.55%
3-09.14%
3-17.15%
3-22.80%
4-05.13%
4-14.02%
4-21.57%
4-30.41%
5-02.31%
5-11.80%
5-20.71%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-04.84%
1-18.50%
2-23.74%
3-30.73%
Newcastle United
0-13.78%
0-21.48%
1-23.33%
0-30.39%
1-30.87%
2-30.97%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
24.60%
8.91%
1.61%
0.19%
1
25.59%
9.27%
1.68%
0.20%
2
13.31%
4.82%
0.87%
0.11%
3
4.61%
1.67%
0.30%
0.04%
4
1.20%
0.43%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-025.59%
2-013.31%
2-14.82%
3-04.61%
3-11.67%
3-20.30%
4-01.20%
4-10.43%
5-00.25%
Draw
0-024.60%
1-19.27%
2-20.87%
Newcastle United
0-18.91%
0-21.61%
1-21.68%
0-30.19%
1-30.20%
2-30.11%