Chelsea at Aston Villa

Updated

Chelsea

52.5%23.4%24.1%
Chelsea WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.78Projected Goals 1.12
2Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-217
W 2-1 at Crystal Palace-135
W 1-2 vs West Ham United
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-175
L 1-2 at Southampton-155
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 0-0 at Leeds United+205
W 0-1 vs Southampton+110
T 1-1 vs Manchester City+800
L 1-2 at Arsenal+535
L 1-0 vs West Ham United+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-115+107-105+102-+102+107-
Aston Villa+320+307+290+295-+295+307-
Draw+245+241+250+252-+252+252-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-125-+100--135-110+100-
Aston Villa+345-+300-+270+315+300-
Draw+270-+231-+230+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +101 to -102
Aston Villa ML moved from +310 to +295

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chelsea ML
Aston Villa ML moved from +325 to +270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+108o2¼-120o2¼-123-o2¼-123o2¼-120-
Underu2½-105u2½-123u2¼+100u2¼+107-u2¼+107u2½-123-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+105o2½+115-o2½-105o2½+110o2½+115-
Underu2½-110u2½-125u2½-135-u2½-125u2½-130u2½-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.0%
 
No44.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.53%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 416.19%
Exactly 64.52%
Exactly 80.68%
 
Exactly 116.00%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.37%
Exactly 71.87%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 017.02%
Exactly 130.14%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 315.75%
Exactly 46.97%
Exactly 52.47%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 032.48%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.54%
Exactly 37.70%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.17%
Exactly 223.52%
Exactly 43.52%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.08%
Exactly 310.51%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 044.05%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.80%
Exactly 34.05%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 059.41%
Exactly 130.93%
Exactly 28.05%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals29.09%
Wins by 3+ goals13.03%
Wins by 4+ goals4.80%
Wins by 5+ goals1.47%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals9.16%
Wins by 3+ goals2.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals16.06%
Wins by 3 goals8.23%
Wins by 4 goals3.33%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal14.84%
Wins by 2 goals6.47%
Wins by 3 goals2.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.47%5.53%
1.578.47%21.53%
2.555.30%44.70%
3.532.93%67.07%
4.516.75%83.25%
5.57.37%92.63%
6.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.98%17.02%
1.552.84%47.16%
2.526.16%73.84%
3.510.41%89.59%
4.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.52%32.48%
1.531.00%69.00%
2.510.46%89.54%
3.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.83%26.17%
1.538.75%61.25%
2.515.23%84.77%
3.54.73%95.27%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
5.53%
6.22%
3.50%
1.31%
0.37%
1
9.79%
11.01%
6.19%
2.32%
0.65%
2
8.67%
9.75%
5.48%
2.05%
0.58%
3
5.12%
5.75%
3.23%
1.21%
0.34%
4
2.26%
2.55%
1.43%
0.54%
0.15%
5
0.80%
0.90%
0.51%
0.19%
0.05%
Chelsea
1-09.79%
2-08.67%
2-19.75%
3-05.12%
3-15.75%
3-23.23%
4-02.26%
4-12.55%
4-21.43%
4-30.54%
5-00.80%
5-10.90%
5-20.51%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.53%
1-111.01%
2-25.48%
3-31.21%
4-40.15%
Aston Villa
0-16.22%
0-23.50%
1-26.19%
0-31.31%
1-32.32%
2-32.05%
0-40.37%
1-40.65%
2-40.58%
3-40.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Aston Villa
Score0123
0
26.17%
13.63%
3.55%
0.62%
1
21.46%
11.17%
2.91%
0.50%
2
8.80%
4.58%
1.19%
0.21%
3
2.40%
1.25%
0.33%
0.06%
4
0.49%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-021.46%
2-08.80%
2-14.58%
3-02.40%
3-11.25%
3-20.33%
4-00.49%
4-10.26%
Draw
0-026.17%
1-111.17%
2-21.19%
Aston Villa
0-113.63%
0-23.55%
1-22.91%
0-30.62%
1-30.50%
2-30.21%