Southampton at Newcastle United

Updated

Southampton

42.7%25.5%31.9%
Southampton WinDrawNewcastle United Win
1.52Projected Goals 1.14
2Final Score 3

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 0-9 at Manchester United+600
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa+220
L 3-1 vs Arsenal+245
L 0-2 at Leicester City+425
W 0-1 vs Liverpool
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Crystal Palace+200
W 2-0 at Everton+540
L 2-1 vs Leeds United+290
L 0-2 at Aston Villa+532
L 0-3 at Arsenal+672

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+100-+120+122+122+122+122-
Newcastle United+280-+230+230+231+230+231-
Draw+250-+240+260+225+260+260-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+120-+120-+120+125+125-
Newcastle United+190-+228-+190+230+230-
Draw+200-+241-+200+230+241-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Southampton: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 90.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +128 to +122
Newcastle United ML moved from +220 to +210

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Southampton: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 90.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +127 to +120
Newcastle United ML moved from +240 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101-o2½-115o2½-122-o2½-122o2½-115-
Underu2½-119-u2½-105u2½+102-u2½+102u2½+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-105o2½-120o2½-105-
Underu2½-120u2½+100u2½+100-u2½-125u2½+100u2½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.01%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 414.58%
Exactly 63.43%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.63%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 57.75%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 021.83%
Exactly 133.22%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 312.82%
Exactly 44.88%
Exactly 51.49%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 032.09%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.73%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.21%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 049.43%
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 212.27%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 059.08%
Exactly 131.09%
Exactly 28.18%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals23.08%
Wins by 3+ goals9.15%
Wins by 4+ goals2.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.73%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals11.11%
Wins by 3+ goals3.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal22.96%
Wins by 2 goals13.93%
Wins by 3 goals6.23%
Wins by 4 goals2.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal17.14%
Wins by 2 goals7.76%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.99%7.01%
1.574.37%25.63%
2.549.61%50.39%
3.527.68%72.32%
4.513.10%86.90%
5.55.34%94.66%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.17%21.83%
1.544.95%55.05%
2.519.67%80.33%
3.56.84%93.16%
4.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.91%32.09%
1.531.43%68.57%
2.510.70%89.30%
3.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.79%29.21%
1.534.85%65.15%
2.512.73%87.27%
3.53.65%96.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
7.01%
7.96%
4.52%
1.71%
0.49%
0.11%
1
10.66%
12.12%
6.89%
2.61%
0.74%
0.17%
2
8.11%
9.22%
5.24%
1.99%
0.56%
0.13%
3
4.12%
4.68%
2.66%
1.01%
0.29%
0.07%
4
1.57%
1.78%
1.01%
0.38%
0.11%
0.02%
5
0.48%
0.54%
0.31%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Southampton
1-010.66%
2-08.11%
2-19.22%
3-04.12%
3-14.68%
3-22.66%
4-01.57%
4-11.78%
4-21.01%
4-30.38%
5-00.48%
5-10.54%
5-20.31%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.01%
1-112.12%
2-25.24%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Newcastle United
0-17.96%
0-24.52%
1-26.89%
0-31.71%
1-32.61%
2-31.99%
0-40.49%
1-40.74%
2-40.56%
3-40.29%
0-50.11%
1-50.17%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
29.21%
15.37%
4.04%
0.71%
1
20.58%
10.83%
2.85%
0.50%
2
7.25%
3.82%
1.00%
0.18%
3
1.70%
0.90%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.30%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Southampton
1-020.58%
2-07.25%
2-13.82%
3-01.70%
3-10.90%
3-20.24%
4-00.30%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-029.21%
1-110.83%
2-21.00%
Newcastle United
0-115.37%
0-24.04%
1-22.85%
0-30.71%
1-30.50%
2-30.18%