Aston Villa at Manchester City

Updated

Aston Villa

7.9%13.9%78.2%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.67
1Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-185
T 1-1 at West Ham United+170
L 4-0 vs Tottenham+155
W 2-1 at Fulham+133
L 2-1 vs Manchester United+112
Manchester City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Arsenal+105
T 1-1 at Liverpool+100
W 1-3 vs Manchester United-400
W 1-0 at Bournemouth-241
T 1-1 vs Chelsea-315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+875-+1000+1250-+1250+1250-
Manchester City-385--435-465--465-435-
Draw+550-+575+625-+625+625-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+785-+1050--+1025+1050-
Manchester City-365--455---450-450-
Draw+525-+585--+600+600-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +1000 to +900
Manchester City ML moved from -450 to -465

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +900 to +850
Manchester City ML moved from -375 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102-o3¼-102o3¼-108-o3¼-108o3¼-102-
Underu3½-122-u3¼-118u3¼-108-u3¼-108u3¼-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3-135o3½+115-o3½-110o3½+110o3-135-
Underu3½-125u3+115u3½-135-u3½-120u3½-130u3½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-140 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.29%
Exactly 219.18%
Exactly 418.63%
Exactly 67.24%
Exactly 81.51%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.24%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 512.72%
Exactly 73.53%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 047.62%
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 213.11%
Exactly 33.24%
Exactly 40.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.91%
Exactly 118.47%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 414.68%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.58%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 45.35%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 313.55%
Exactly 51.69%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 070.92%
Exactly 124.37%
Exactly 24.19%
Exactly 30.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 029.02%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 39.16%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals2.03%
Wins by 3+ goals0.38%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals57.26%
Wins by 3+ goals35.55%
Wins by 4+ goals18.75%
Wins by 5+ goals8.49%
Wins by 6+ goals3.33%
Wins by 7+ goals1.13%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal5.79%
Wins by 2 goals1.65%
Wins by 3 goals0.34%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal20.91%
Wins by 2 goals21.71%
Wins by 3 goals16.80%
Wins by 4 goals10.26%
Wins by 5 goals5.16%
Wins by 6 goals2.20%
Wins by 7 goals0.81%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.71%3.29%
1.585.47%14.53%
2.566.30%33.70%
3.544.47%55.53%
4.525.84%74.16%
5.513.12%86.88%
6.55.89%94.11%
7.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.38%47.62%
1.517.05%82.95%
2.53.95%96.05%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.09%6.91%
1.574.62%25.38%
2.549.95%50.05%
3.527.97%72.03%
4.513.29%86.71%
5.55.45%94.55%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.42%20.58%
1.546.88%53.12%
2.521.17%78.83%
3.57.62%92.38%
4.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.29%
8.79%
11.75%
10.46%
6.99%
3.74%
1
2.44%
6.52%
8.72%
7.76%
5.19%
2.77%
2
0.91%
2.42%
3.23%
2.88%
1.92%
1.03%
3
0.22%
0.60%
0.80%
0.71%
0.48%
0.25%
Aston Villa
1-02.44%
2-00.91%
2-12.42%
3-00.22%
3-10.60%
3-20.80%
Draw
0-03.29%
1-16.52%
2-23.23%
3-30.71%
Manchester City
0-18.79%
0-211.75%
1-28.72%
0-310.46%
1-37.76%
2-32.88%
0-46.99%
1-45.19%
2-41.92%
3-40.48%
0-53.74%
1-52.77%
2-51.03%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
20.58%
25.46%
15.75%
6.50%
2.01%
0.50%
0.10%
1
7.07%
8.75%
5.41%
2.23%
0.69%
0.17%
0.04%
2
1.21%
1.50%
0.93%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.17%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-07.07%
2-01.21%
2-11.50%
3-00.14%
3-10.17%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-020.58%
1-18.75%
2-20.93%
Manchester City
0-125.46%
0-215.75%
1-25.41%
0-36.50%
1-32.23%
2-30.38%
0-42.01%
1-40.69%
2-40.12%
0-50.50%
1-50.17%
0-60.10%