Aston Villa at Bournemouth

Updated

Aston Villa

52.8%24.3%22.9%
Aston Villa WinDrawBournemouth Win
1.68Projected Goals 1.01
0Final Score 2

Bournemouth

Last Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 2-3 at Manchester City+1600
T 1-1 vs Burnley+110
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-110
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+650
W 3-1 at Burnley+145
Bournemouth
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+108+101+100+100+100+100+101+125.9
Bournemouth+215+317+285+300+281+300+317+259.8
Draw+211+251+245+250+240+250+251+257.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+115--105--120+100+100+125.9
Bournemouth+240-+280-+250+280+280+259.8
Draw+245-+254-+240+245+254+257.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +102 to -100
Bournemouth ML moved from +299 to +293

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -105
Bournemouth ML moved from +280 to +270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+115o2¼-118o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-115o2½+109
Underu2½-125u2½-130u2¼-102u2¼-101-u2¼-101u2½-130u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+110o2½+112-o2½-105o2½+105o2½+112o2½+109
Underu2½-120u2½-130u2½-132-u2½-125u2½-125u2½-125u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.82%
Exactly 224.59%
Exactly 414.78%
Exactly 63.55%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.31%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.94%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 018.77%
Exactly 131.40%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 314.64%
Exactly 46.12%
Exactly 52.05%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 036.31%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.84%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 046.09%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 213.82%
Exactly 33.57%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 062.56%
Exactly 129.34%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals28.57%
Wins by 3+ goals12.37%
Wins by 4+ goals4.38%
Wins by 5+ goals1.29%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals8.17%
Wins by 3+ goals2.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.21%
Wins by 2 goals16.20%
Wins by 3 goals7.99%
Wins by 4 goals3.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.98%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal14.66%
Wins by 2 goals5.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.18%6.82%
1.574.87%25.13%
2.550.29%49.71%
3.528.28%71.72%
4.513.50%86.50%
5.55.56%94.44%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.23%18.77%
1.549.82%50.18%
2.523.56%76.44%
3.58.92%91.08%
4.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.69%36.31%
1.526.90%73.10%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.16%28.84%
1.535.30%64.70%
2.513.01%86.99%
3.53.77%96.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
6.82%
6.91%
3.50%
1.18%
0.30%
1
11.40%
11.55%
5.85%
1.98%
0.50%
2
9.54%
9.66%
4.89%
1.65%
0.42%
3
5.32%
5.39%
2.73%
0.92%
0.23%
4
2.22%
2.25%
1.14%
0.39%
0.10%
5
0.74%
0.75%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
Aston Villa
1-011.40%
2-09.54%
2-19.66%
3-05.32%
3-15.39%
3-22.73%
4-02.22%
4-12.25%
4-21.14%
4-30.39%
5-00.74%
5-10.75%
5-20.38%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.82%
1-111.55%
2-24.89%
3-30.92%
Bournemouth
0-16.91%
0-23.50%
1-25.85%
0-31.18%
1-31.98%
2-31.65%
0-40.30%
1-40.50%
2-40.42%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Score0123
0
28.84%
13.53%
3.17%
0.50%
1
22.33%
10.47%
2.46%
0.38%
2
8.65%
4.06%
0.95%
0.15%
3
2.23%
1.05%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.43%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-022.33%
2-08.65%
2-14.06%
3-02.23%
3-11.05%
3-20.25%
4-00.43%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.84%
1-110.47%
2-20.95%
Bournemouth
0-113.53%
0-23.17%
1-22.46%
0-30.50%
1-30.38%
2-30.15%