Manchester United at Manchester City

Updated

Manchester United

20.1%22.8%57.1%
Manchester United WinDrawManchester City Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.82
3Final Score 6

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Arsenal+170
W 1-0 at Leicester City+124
W 1-0 at Southampton-125
W 1-2 vs Liverpool+350
L 2-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-135
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-0 at Wolverhampton-315
T 1-1 at Aston Villa-320
W 2-4 vs Crystal Palace-600
T 3-3 at Newcastle United-240
W 0-4 vs Bournemouth-1600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United+751+559+525+550+543+550+559-
Manchester City-328-217-240-233-245-233-217-
Draw+467+433+420+460+425+460+460-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United+675-+625-+590+575+625-
Manchester City-285--282--355-250-250-
Draw+450-+450-+390+430+450-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester United: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Manchester United: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +566 to +559
Manchester City ML moved from -225 to -240

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Manchester United: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Manchester United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +600 to +575
Manchester City ML moved from -285 to -295

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112o3½+116o3¼-108o3¼-112-o3¼-112o3¼-108-
Underu3¼-104u3½-131u3¼-112u3¼-104-u3¼-104u3½-131-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½+110o3½+107-o3½+105o3½+120o3½+120-
Underu3½-135u3½-130u3½-127-u3½-135u3½-140u3½-127-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.04%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 415.62%
Exactly 64.10%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.94%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.77%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 037.38%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.10%
Exactly 35.94%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 016.15%
Exactly 129.44%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 316.32%
Exactly 47.44%
Exactly 52.71%
Exactly 60.82%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.26%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 063.41%
Exactly 128.89%
Exactly 26.58%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 042.99%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.32%
Exactly 34.31%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals6.94%
Wins by 3+ goals1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals32.70%
Wins by 3+ goals15.14%
Wins by 4+ goals5.76%
Wins by 5+ goals1.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal13.12%
Wins by 2 goals5.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals17.56%
Wins by 3 goals9.38%
Wins by 4 goals3.94%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.96%6.04%
1.577.02%22.98%
2.553.23%46.77%
3.530.97%69.03%
4.515.35%84.65%
5.56.58%93.42%
6.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.62%37.38%
1.525.84%74.16%
2.57.74%92.26%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.85%16.15%
1.554.41%45.59%
2.527.57%72.43%
3.511.25%88.75%
4.53.81%96.19%
5.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.74%27.26%
1.537.31%62.69%
2.514.29%85.71%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester United
Manchester City
Score012345
0
6.04%
11.01%
10.03%
6.10%
2.78%
1.01%
1
5.94%
10.83%
9.87%
6.00%
2.74%
1.00%
2
2.92%
5.33%
4.86%
2.95%
1.35%
0.49%
3
0.96%
1.75%
1.59%
0.97%
0.44%
0.16%
4
0.24%
0.43%
0.39%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Manchester United
1-05.94%
2-02.92%
2-15.33%
3-00.96%
3-11.75%
3-21.59%
4-00.24%
4-10.43%
4-20.39%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-06.04%
1-110.83%
2-24.86%
3-30.97%
4-40.11%
Manchester City
0-111.01%
0-210.03%
1-29.87%
0-36.10%
1-36.00%
2-32.95%
0-42.78%
1-42.74%
2-41.35%
3-40.44%
0-51.01%
1-51.00%
2-50.49%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester United
Manchester City
Score01234
0
27.26%
23.01%
9.71%
2.73%
0.58%
1
12.42%
10.48%
4.43%
1.25%
0.26%
2
2.83%
2.39%
1.01%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.43%
0.36%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester United
1-012.42%
2-02.83%
2-12.39%
3-00.43%
3-10.36%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-027.26%
1-110.48%
2-21.01%
Manchester City
0-123.01%
0-29.71%
1-24.43%
0-32.73%
1-31.25%
2-30.28%
0-40.58%
1-40.26%
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