Manchester United at Manchester City

Updated

Manchester United

20.1%22.8%57.1%
Manchester United WinDrawManchester City Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.82
3Final Score 6

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Arsenal+170
W 1-0 at Leicester City+124
W 1-0 at Southampton-125
W 1-2 vs Liverpool+350
L 2-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-135
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-0 at Wolverhampton-315
T 1-1 at Aston Villa-320
W 2-4 vs Crystal Palace-600
T 3-3 at Newcastle United-240
W 0-4 vs Bournemouth-1600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United+751+559+525+550+543+550+559-
Manchester City-328-217-240-233-245-233-217-
Draw+467+433+420+460+425+460+460-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United+675-+625-+590+575+625-
Manchester City-285--282--355-250-250-
Draw+450-+450-+390+430+450-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester United: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +566 to +559
Manchester City ML moved from -225 to -240

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Manchester United: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +600 to +575
Manchester City ML moved from -285 to -295

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112o3½+116o3¼-108o3¼-112-o3¼-112o3¼-108-
Underu3¼-104u3½-131u3¼-112u3¼-104-u3¼-104u3½-131-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½+110o3½+107-o3½+105o3½+120o3½+120-
Underu3½-135u3½-130u3½-127-u3½-135u3½-140u3½-127-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.04%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 415.62%
Exactly 64.10%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.94%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.77%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 037.38%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.10%
Exactly 35.94%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 016.15%
Exactly 129.44%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 316.32%
Exactly 47.44%
Exactly 52.71%
Exactly 60.82%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.26%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 063.41%
Exactly 128.89%
Exactly 26.58%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 042.99%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.32%
Exactly 34.31%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals6.94%
Wins by 3+ goals1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals32.70%
Wins by 3+ goals15.14%
Wins by 4+ goals5.76%
Wins by 5+ goals1.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal13.12%
Wins by 2 goals5.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals17.56%
Wins by 3 goals9.38%
Wins by 4 goals3.94%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.96%6.04%
1.577.02%22.98%
2.553.23%46.77%
3.530.97%69.03%
4.515.35%84.65%
5.56.58%93.42%
6.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.62%37.38%
1.525.84%74.16%
2.57.74%92.26%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.85%16.15%
1.554.41%45.59%
2.527.57%72.43%
3.511.25%88.75%
4.53.81%96.19%
5.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.74%27.26%
1.537.31%62.69%
2.514.29%85.71%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester United
Manchester City
Score012345
0
6.04%
11.01%
10.03%
6.10%
2.78%
1.01%
1
5.94%
10.83%
9.87%
6.00%
2.74%
1.00%
2
2.92%
5.33%
4.86%
2.95%
1.35%
0.49%
3
0.96%
1.75%
1.59%
0.97%
0.44%
0.16%
4
0.24%
0.43%
0.39%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Manchester United
1-05.94%
2-02.92%
2-15.33%
3-00.96%
3-11.75%
3-21.59%
4-00.24%
4-10.43%
4-20.39%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-06.04%
1-110.83%
2-24.86%
3-30.97%
4-40.11%
Manchester City
0-111.01%
0-210.03%
1-29.87%
0-36.10%
1-36.00%
2-32.95%
0-42.78%
1-42.74%
2-41.35%
3-40.44%
0-51.01%
1-51.00%
2-50.49%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester United
Manchester City
Score01234
0
27.26%
23.01%
9.71%
2.73%
0.58%
1
12.42%
10.48%
4.43%
1.25%
0.26%
2
2.83%
2.39%
1.01%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.43%
0.36%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester United
1-012.42%
2-02.83%
2-12.39%
3-00.43%
3-10.36%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-027.26%
1-110.48%
2-21.01%
Manchester City
0-123.01%
0-29.71%
1-24.43%
0-32.73%
1-31.25%
2-30.28%
0-40.58%
1-40.26%