Manchester City at Bournemouth

Updated

Manchester City

83.1%11.6%5.2%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.81Projected Goals 0.58
4Final Score 1

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-1 at Arsenal+127
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa-325
L 0-1 at Tottenham-110
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-410
W 2-4 vs Tottenham-209
Bournemouth
Money Line
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton+375
T 1-1 vs Newcastle United+510
L 0-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+835
W 0-3 vs Everton+185
L 3-4 at Leeds United+425

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-385-324-300-265--265-265-
Bournemouth+900+1015+825+835-+835+1015-
Draw+525+484+420+395-+395+484-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-350--315---310-310-
Bournemouth+885-+770--+860+860-
Draw+485-+460--+425+460-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Manchester City: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 70.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -289 to -324
Bournemouth ML moved from +850 to +825

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -300 to -310
Bournemouth ML moved from +770 to +760

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3+105o3-102o3+104-o3+104o3+105-
Underu3¼-122u3-120u3-118u3-120-u3-120u3-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-105o3+100-o3-115o3-105o3+100-
Underu3+110u3-115u3-120-u3-115u3-115u3-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.37%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 418.55%
Exactly 67.10%
Exactly 81.46%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.43%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 512.57%
Exactly 73.44%
Exactly 90.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.05%
Exactly 116.98%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 415.60%
Exactly 58.75%
Exactly 64.09%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 80.57%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 055.74%
Exactly 132.58%
Exactly 29.52%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.82%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 45.26%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.67%
Exactly 313.41%
Exactly 51.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 027.29%
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 39.96%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 076.29%
Exactly 120.65%
Exactly 22.79%
Exactly 30.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals63.40%
Wins by 3+ goals41.22%
Wins by 4+ goals22.82%
Wins by 5+ goals10.85%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals1.13%
Wins by 3+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal19.65%
Wins by 2 goals22.18%
Wins by 3 goals18.40%
Wins by 4 goals11.97%
Wins by 5 goals6.38%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal4.09%
Wins by 2 goals0.96%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.63%3.37%
1.585.19%14.81%
2.565.81%34.19%
3.543.92%56.08%
4.525.38%74.62%
5.512.81%87.19%
6.55.71%94.29%
7.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.95%6.05%
1.576.97%23.03%
2.553.16%46.84%
3.530.91%69.09%
4.515.30%84.70%
5.56.55%93.45%
6.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.26%55.74%
1.511.68%88.32%
2.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.18%20.82%
1.546.50%53.50%
2.520.87%79.13%
3.57.46%92.54%
4.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Bournemouth
Score0123
0
3.37%
1.97%
0.58%
0.11%
1
9.46%
5.53%
1.62%
0.31%
2
13.27%
7.76%
2.27%
0.44%
3
12.40%
7.25%
2.12%
0.41%
4
8.70%
5.08%
1.49%
0.29%
5
4.88%
2.85%
0.83%
0.16%
Manchester City
1-09.46%
2-013.27%
2-17.76%
3-012.40%
3-17.25%
3-22.12%
4-08.70%
4-15.08%
4-21.49%
4-30.29%
5-04.88%
5-12.85%
5-20.83%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-03.37%
1-15.53%
2-22.27%
3-30.41%
Bournemouth
0-11.97%
0-20.58%
1-21.62%
0-30.11%
1-30.31%
2-30.44%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Bournemouth
Score012
0
20.82%
5.64%
0.76%
1
27.04%
7.32%
0.99%
2
17.55%
4.75%
0.64%
3
7.60%
2.06%
0.28%
4
2.47%
0.67%
0.09%
5
0.64%
0.17%
0.02%
6
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-027.04%
2-017.55%
2-14.75%
3-07.60%
3-12.06%
3-20.28%
4-02.47%
4-10.67%
5-00.64%
5-10.17%
6-00.14%
Draw
0-020.82%
1-17.32%
2-20.64%
Bournemouth
0-15.64%
0-20.76%
1-20.99%