Crystal Palace at Watford

Updated

Crystal Palace

44.5%28.6%26.9%
Crystal Palace WinDrawWatford Win
1.27Projected Goals 0.92
4Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Crystal Palace
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Chelsea+450
T 1-1 at Norwich City+110
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+490
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+307
L 3-2 vs West Ham United+245
Watford
Money Line
W 1-0 at Aston Villa+450
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+290
L 0-1 at West Ham United+575
T 0-0 at Burnley+265
L 3-0 vs Norwich City+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+120+171+165+160+155+165+171+173.9
Watford+245+199+195+200+190+200+200+208.4
Draw+215+214+205+215+209+208+214+222.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+130-+158-+105+140+158+173.9
Watford+230-+193-+210+215+210+208.4
Draw+220-+208-+215+215+215+222.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 30.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +165 to +157
Watford ML moved from +198 to +186

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +162 to +155
Watford ML moved from +202 to +193

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+141o2¼+105o2¼+109-o2¼+109o2¼+106o2¼+114
Underu2½-122u2½-156u2¼-125u2¼-125-u2¼-125u2½-150u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2-110o2-123-o2½+115o2-120o2-133o2¼+114
Underu2½-130u2-110u2+103-u2½-145u2+100u2½-145u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.18%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 410.74%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.49%
Exactly 319.60%
Exactly 54.71%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 028.06%
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 222.66%
Exactly 39.60%
Exactly 43.05%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 039.83%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.88%
Exactly 35.18%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.26%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 055.52%
Exactly 132.67%
Exactly 29.61%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 065.30%
Exactly 127.83%
Exactly 25.93%
Exactly 30.84%

Alternate Props

Spread

Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals20.14%
Wins by 3+ goals7.04%
Wins by 4+ goals1.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals9.28%
Wins by 3+ goals2.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Crystal Palace
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals13.10%
Wins by 3 goals5.08%
Wins by 4 goals1.53%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal17.60%
Wins by 2 goals6.87%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.82%11.18%
1.564.33%35.67%
2.537.50%62.50%
3.517.89%82.11%
4.57.16%92.84%
5.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.94%28.06%
1.536.28%63.72%
2.513.62%86.38%
3.54.02%95.98%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.17%39.83%
1.523.50%76.50%
2.56.63%93.37%
3.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.74%36.26%
1.526.96%73.04%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Crystal Palace
Watford
Score01234
0
11.18%
10.29%
4.74%
1.45%
0.33%
1
14.20%
13.07%
6.02%
1.85%
0.42%
2
9.02%
8.31%
3.82%
1.17%
0.27%
3
3.82%
3.52%
1.62%
0.50%
0.11%
4
1.21%
1.12%
0.51%
0.16%
0.04%
5
0.31%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Crystal Palace
1-014.20%
2-09.02%
2-18.31%
3-03.82%
3-13.52%
3-21.62%
4-01.21%
4-11.12%
4-20.51%
4-30.16%
5-00.31%
5-10.28%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-011.18%
1-113.07%
2-23.82%
3-30.50%
Watford
0-110.29%
0-24.74%
1-26.02%
0-31.45%
1-31.85%
2-31.17%
0-40.33%
1-40.42%
2-40.27%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Crystal Palace
Watford
Score0123
0
36.26%
15.45%
3.29%
0.47%
1
21.33%
9.09%
1.94%
0.28%
2
6.28%
2.67%
0.57%
0.08%
3
1.23%
0.52%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Crystal Palace
1-021.33%
2-06.28%
2-12.67%
3-01.23%
3-10.52%
3-20.11%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-036.26%
1-19.09%
2-20.57%
Watford
0-115.45%
0-23.29%
1-21.94%
0-30.47%
1-30.28%