Manchester City at Chelsea

Updated

Manchester City

50.1%22.4%27.5%
Manchester City WinDrawChelsea Win
1.87Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Southampton-590
W 0-5 vs Arsenal-310
W 0-5 vs Norwich City-900
L 0-1 at Tottenham-171
W 0-5 vs Everton-350
Chelsea
Money Line
W 3-0 at Tottenham+100
T 1-1 at Liverpool+215
W 2-0 at Arsenal-115
W 0-3 vs Crystal Palace-310
L 1-2 at Aston Villa-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+160-+160+165+155+165+165+174.9
Chelsea+175-+190+190+187+190+190+202.5
Draw+230-+215+220+212+220+220+227.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+175-+160-+160+180+180+174.9
Chelsea+170-+191-+140+165+191+202.5
Draw+215-+209-+205+215+215+227.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +161 to +155
Chelsea ML moved from +168 to +162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +171 to +160
Chelsea ML moved from +150 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2¼-118o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-107
Under-u2¼-102u2¼-105-u2¼-105u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+113-o2½+105o2½+105o2¼-107
Underu2½-130u2½-133-u2½-135u2½-125u2¼+107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.54%
Exactly 223.19%
Exactly 416.17%
Exactly 64.51%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.04%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.35%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 015.44%
Exactly 128.84%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 316.78%
Exactly 47.84%
Exactly 52.93%
Exactly 60.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 035.91%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.20%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.09%
Exactly 310.49%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 042.11%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.75%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 062.24%
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals33.06%
Wins by 3+ goals15.54%
Wins by 4+ goals6.01%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals7.23%
Wins by 3+ goals1.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.98%
Wins by 2 goals17.53%
Wins by 3 goals9.52%
Wins by 4 goals4.08%
Wins by 5 goals1.43%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal13.15%
Wins by 2 goals5.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.46%5.54%
1.578.42%21.58%
2.555.23%44.77%
3.532.87%67.13%
4.516.70%83.30%
5.57.35%92.65%
6.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.56%15.44%
1.555.72%44.28%
2.528.77%71.23%
3.511.99%88.01%
4.54.15%95.85%
5.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.09%35.91%
1.527.32%72.68%
2.58.48%91.52%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.80%26.20%
1.538.70%61.30%
2.515.20%84.80%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score01234
0
5.54%
5.68%
2.91%
0.99%
0.25%
1
10.36%
10.61%
5.43%
1.85%
0.48%
2
9.67%
9.91%
5.08%
1.73%
0.44%
3
6.02%
6.17%
3.16%
1.08%
0.28%
4
2.81%
2.88%
1.48%
0.50%
0.13%
5
1.05%
1.08%
0.55%
0.19%
0.05%
Manchester City
1-010.36%
2-09.67%
2-19.91%
3-06.02%
3-16.17%
3-23.16%
4-02.81%
4-12.88%
4-21.48%
4-30.50%
5-01.05%
5-11.08%
5-20.55%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.54%
1-110.61%
2-25.08%
3-31.08%
4-40.13%
Chelsea
0-15.68%
0-22.91%
1-25.43%
0-30.99%
1-31.85%
2-31.73%
0-40.25%
1-40.48%
2-40.44%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score0123
0
26.20%
12.43%
2.95%
0.47%
1
22.67%
10.75%
2.55%
0.40%
2
9.80%
4.65%
1.10%
0.17%
3
2.83%
1.34%
0.32%
0.05%
4
0.61%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-022.67%
2-09.80%
2-14.65%
3-02.83%
3-11.34%
3-20.32%
4-00.61%
4-10.29%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-026.20%
1-110.75%
2-21.10%
Chelsea
0-112.43%
0-22.95%
1-22.55%
0-30.47%
1-30.40%
2-30.17%