Burnley at Brighton and Hove Albion

Updated

Burnley

29.3%28.8%41.9%
Burnley WinDrawBrighton and Hove Albion Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+320
L 2-1 vs West Ham United+240
L 1-3 at Arsenal+1500
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+240
L 1-2 at Bournemouth+235
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sheffield United-400
T 1-1 at Everton+144
T 1-1 vs Fulham-170
L 1-2 at Manchester City+740
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+460+540+475+565-+565+565-
Brighton and Hove Albion-195-203-190-190--190-190-
Draw+370+370+350+335-+335+370-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+512-+505-+520+520+570-
Brighton and Hove Albion-210--198--270-210-198-
Draw+360-+350-+325+370+370-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 50.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +585 to +565
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 50.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +610 to +505
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from -240 to -270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3-105o2¾-118o2¾-112-o2¾-112o2¾-112-
Underu3-108u3-115u2¾-102u2¾-104-u2¾-104u3-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+115o3+120-o3+110o3+115o3+120-
Underu3-115u3-135u3-140-u3-140u3-135u3-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-115 to u3-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.06%
Exactly 226.81%
Exactly 410.83%
Exactly 61.75%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.35%
Exactly 319.68%
Exactly 54.77%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 037.72%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.93%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 029.33%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 39.02%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.08%
Exactly 218.75%
Exactly 41.62%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.37%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 063.67%
Exactly 128.74%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 056.67%
Exactly 132.18%
Exactly 29.14%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals10.57%
Wins by 3+ goals2.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals18.41%
Wins by 3+ goals6.23%
Wins by 4+ goals1.68%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal18.66%
Wins by 2 goals7.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal23.47%
Wins by 2 goals12.18%
Wins by 3 goals4.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.94%11.06%
1.564.58%35.42%
2.537.77%62.23%
3.518.10%81.90%
4.57.27%92.73%
5.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.28%37.72%
1.525.51%74.49%
2.57.58%92.42%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.67%29.33%
1.534.70%65.30%
2.512.63%87.37%
3.53.61%96.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.92%36.08%
1.527.14%72.86%
2.58.39%91.61%
3.52.02%97.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
11.06%
13.57%
8.32%
3.40%
1.04%
0.26%
1
10.79%
13.23%
8.11%
3.32%
1.02%
0.25%
2
5.26%
6.45%
3.96%
1.62%
0.50%
0.12%
3
1.71%
2.10%
1.29%
0.53%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.42%
0.51%
0.31%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Burnley
1-010.79%
2-05.26%
2-16.45%
3-01.71%
3-12.10%
3-21.29%
4-00.42%
4-10.51%
4-20.31%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-011.06%
1-113.23%
2-23.96%
3-30.53%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-113.57%
0-28.32%
1-28.11%
0-33.40%
1-33.32%
2-31.62%
0-41.04%
1-41.02%
2-40.50%
3-40.16%
0-50.26%
1-50.25%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
36.08%
20.49%
5.82%
1.10%
0.16%
1
16.29%
9.25%
2.63%
0.50%
0.07%
2
3.68%
2.09%
0.59%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.55%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-016.29%
2-03.68%
2-12.09%
3-00.55%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-036.08%
1-19.25%
2-20.59%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-120.49%
0-25.82%
1-22.63%
0-31.10%
1-30.50%
2-30.11%
0-40.16%