English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Feb 7, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leicester City
Bournemouth		66.3%
13.8%		20.0%
+735
-280
+780
-320
0
2		-0.33544-0.31737-1.98282
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham		16.6%
62.2%		21.2%
-111
+275
-115
+340
4
1		-0.67603-0.61508-1.79354
Arsenal
Southampton		43.8%
30.0%		26.2%
-415
+1150
-417
+1050
2
1		-0.24930-0.26125-0.82629
Aston Villa
Manchester United		14.5%
66.5%		19.0%
-148
+375
-155
+400
0
2		-1.59209-1.64393-0.40770
Everton
Newcastle United		48.5%
26.0%		25.5%
+1050
-385
+1150
-360
1
0		-2.47409-2.53970-0.72449
Bournemouth
Manchester City		3.9%
86.4%		9.7%
+755
-290
+785
-300
1
3		-0.33014-0.32392-0.14676
Wolverhampton
Crystal Palace		40.3%
30.8%		28.9%
+223
+135
+209
+135
2
4		-0.87745-0.90098-1.17866
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion		67.0%
13.2%		19.8%
+196
+122
+195
+120
2
3		-0.83211-0.83409-2.02261
Newcastle United
Arsenal		15.8%
63.1%		21.1%
+315
-110
+310
-110
0
1		-0.67417-0.67704-0.46061
Southampton
Everton		28.2%
46.6%		25.2%
+660
-235
+685
-250
0
2		-0.38904-0.38322-0.76271
Manchester United
Chelsea		38.0%
35.3%		26.7%
+460
-173
+600
-190
0
1		-0.48773-0.42920-1.04185
Tottenham
Aston Villa		47.5%
27.9%		24.6%
+1000
-375
+950
-330
0
2		-0.26242-0.28109-1.27705
Arsenal
Liverpool		19.2%
57.9%		22.9%
+225
+124
+215
+125
2
2		-1.31234-1.31983-1.47451
West Ham United
Manchester United		15.1%
65.2%		19.7%
+265
+105
+280
+100
2
0		-1.32629-1.37145-1.88743
Crystal Palace
Tottenham		16.4%
62.2%		21.4%
+126
+212
+140
+210
2
0		-0.85022-0.88860-1.81088
Chelsea
Newcastle United		62.4%
16.8%		20.7%
+211
+125
+220
+120
0
2		-0.84306-0.82508-1.78165
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.