English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tottenham
Manchester United 		24.1%
52.0%		23.8%
+382
-157
+360
-160
1.10
1.72		2.82
o3-110
u3-106
o3-115
u3-105
Chelsea
Wolverhampton 		48.9%
25.9%		25.2%
-145
+383
-145
+360
1.58
1.07		2.65
o2¾-109
u2¾-107
o2½-145
u2½+125
Everton
Fulham 		54.5%
21.3%		24.2%
+282
+114
+275
+110
1.68
0.95		2.63
o2¼-105
u2¼-110
o2½+125
u2½-145
Sunderland
Arsenal 		7.0%
78.2%		14.8%
+1376
-455
+1375
-485
0.57
2.42		2.99
o2¾-104
u2¾-112
o2½-145
u2½+125
Aston Villa
Bournemouth 		52.8%
22.9%		24.3%
+156
+169
+155
+165
1.68
1.01		2.69
o2¾-116
u2¾+100
o2½-150
u2½+130
West Ham United
Burnley 		42.1%
30.3%		27.7%
+120
+240
+120
+230
1.30
1.06		2.36
o2½-105
u2½-114
o2½-105
u2½-115
Games for May 2, 2021
Games for Feb 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Burnley
Sunderland		52.6%
20.6%		26.7%
+350
-104
+395
-115
0
3		-0.70818-0.65626-1.57968
Manchester City
Tottenham		59.3%
18.9%		21.8%
-154
+430
-146
+400
2
2		-1.46395-1.44770-1.52294
Fulham
Manchester United		7.8%
77.4%		14.7%
+485
-184
+445
-175
2
3		-0.46825-0.49512-0.25603
Newcastle United
Liverpool		8.3%
76.7%		15.0%
+395
-152
+395
-150
1
4		-0.53749-0.54481-0.26497
West Ham United
Chelsea		18.6%
60.1%		21.3%
+445
-170
+500
-170
2
3		-0.49735-0.48342-0.50951
Arsenal
Leeds United		50.9%
24.0%		25.1%
-172
+533
-170
+555
4
0		-0.48634-0.48392-0.67574
Bournemouth
Wolverhampton		15.7%
62.4%		21.9%
+141
+203
+135
+200
2
0		-0.91387-0.90039-1.85342
Everton
Brighton and Hove Albion		44.4%
28.8%		26.9%
+322
-105
+340
-120
1
1		-1.28706-1.34438-1.31435
Leeds United
Everton		22.3%
53.8%		23.8%
+212
+156
+202
+156
1
1		-1.16456-1.19683-1.43460
Manchester United
Arsenal		44.4%
29.2%		26.3%
+515
-190
+470
-180
3
2		-1.85011-1.78017-0.81105
Aston Villa
Newcastle United		42.4%
31.1%		26.5%
+235
+114
+265
+112
2
0		-1.24299-1.31271-0.85904
Chelsea
Crystal Palace		58.4%
18.8%		22.8%
+112
+252
+118
+250
3
1		-0.78592-0.79036-0.53804
Liverpool
Bournemouth		77.3%
7.9%		14.9%
-132
+345
-135
+350
2
3		-1.52698-1.54103-2.54110
Brighton and Hove Albion
Fulham		40.4%
30.7%		28.9%
+185
+160
+178
+155
1
2		-0.98894-0.97939-1.18136
Wolverhampton
Manchester City		8.9%
75.4%		15.8%
+900
-335
+885
-350
0
2		-0.29601-0.29733-0.28271
Tottenham
Burnley		56.2%
20.3%		23.5%
+105
+290
+100
+305
2
2		-1.26769-1.28489-1.44906
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70818 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65626 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.57968
-0.87150
-0.92342

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.