English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Apr 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Fulham		49.3%
24.9%		25.9%
+230
+128
+220
+125
1
0		-1.21315-1.20337-0.70800
Chelsea
Aston Villa		52.5%
24.1%		23.4%
+164
+165
+170
+158
4
1		-1.00120-1.02324-0.64447
Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion		50.4%
23.8%		25.8%
-141
+425
-155
+440
1
0		-0.56622-0.53998-0.68528
Liverpool
Wolverhampton		58.8%
18.4%		22.8%
-235
+645
-215
+610
1
2		-2.04523-1.97934-1.69336
Burnley
Everton		20.1%
56.0%		23.9%
+510
-158
+495
-160
0
2		-0.52258-0.52780-0.58053
Sunderland
Leeds United		13.9%
64.8%		21.3%
+370
-122
+350
-110
1
0		-1.59445-1.53935-1.97285
Chelsea
Arsenal		38.8%
34.2%		27.0%
+500
-178
+536
-190
1
2		-0.46989-0.44993-1.07236
Crystal Palace
Manchester United		11.2%
70.6%		18.2%
+540
-189
+515
-190
1
2		-0.45902-0.46447-0.34769
Tottenham
Fulham		63.2%
15.9%		20.8%
+255
+114
+260
+106
1
2		-0.78349-0.75564-1.83772
Manchester City
Leeds United		76.2%
8.6%		15.2%
-145
+410
-141
+425
1
0		-0.55759-0.55530-0.27222
West Ham United
Liverpool		12.8%
68.8%		18.4%
+635
-250
+610
-245
2
5		-0.37138-0.38828-0.37365
Everton
Newcastle United		48.5%
26.0%		25.5%
+360
-124
+358
-125
3
2		-1.55960-1.55155-0.72449
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton		30.4%
43.0%		26.6%
-134
+400
-125
+375
0
2		-1.64730-1.58362-0.84406
Manchester United
Everton		51.5%
24.3%		24.3%
+104
+270
-101
+260
1
0		-0.73295-0.72741-0.66448
Arsenal
Tottenham		30.8%
42.8%		26.4%
-230
+695
-220
+665
4
1		-0.39504-0.40522-1.17775
Wolverhampton
Crystal Palace		40.3%
30.8%		28.9%
+372
-125
+370
-127
0
1		-0.62129-0.62101-1.17866
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.