English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Apr 5, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Arsenal		23.4%
52.2%		24.4%
+1025
-330
+1125
-355
1
0		-2.45016-2.54072-1.45235
Manchester United
Everton		51.5%
24.3%		24.3%
+198
+162
+200
+160
2
2		-1.18153-1.18221-1.41634
Liverpool
Aston Villa		62.6%
16.8%		20.6%
-110
+285
-115
+290
2
2		-1.41931-1.42674-1.57867
Manchester United
Tottenham		42.8%
31.2%		26.0%
+213
+118
+205
+120
0
1		-0.81335-0.82975-1.16363
Wolverhampton
Liverpool		13.5%
66.8%		19.7%
+1100
-430
+1100
-424
1
2		-0.24397-0.24650-0.40422
Everton
Crystal Palace		44.6%
28.2%		27.2%
+347
+101
+360
+100
2
1		-1.53058-1.55084-0.80829
Bournemouth
Southampton		16.6%
62.2%		21.1%
-195
+495
-200
+495
3
1		-0.44660-0.45188-1.79456
Newcastle United
Manchester City		5.5%
82.8%		11.7%
+235
+106
+235
+105
0
4		-0.75730-0.75351-0.18843
Arsenal
Leicester City		30.5%
42.6%		26.9%
-310
+900
-315
+900
2
0		-0.31367-0.31898-1.18636
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion		58.3%
19.1%		22.6%
+135
+199
+140
+185
0
3		-1.11813-1.09166-1.65355
Liverpool
Everton		55.9%
20.8%		23.2%
-217
+650
-240
+700
2
2		-1.57775-1.57320-1.46003
West Ham United
Chelsea		18.6%
60.1%		21.3%
+850
-345
+925
-368
1
2		-0.28950-0.27743-0.50951
Manchester City
Arsenal		60.5%
17.6%		21.9%
+285
-110
+300
-110
1
5		-0.67783-0.67641-1.73875
Crystal Palace
Manchester United		11.2%
70.6%		18.2%
+383
-123
+360
-125
2
0		-1.59978-1.56839-2.19006
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton		30.4%
43.0%		26.6%
+137
+210
+135
+215
0
2		-1.16520-1.17974-0.84406
Leicester City
Everton		40.4%
32.6%		26.9%
+345
-105
+345
-110
0
4		-0.69961-0.68840-1.11988
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.