English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for May 3, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Newcastle United
Arsenal		15.8%
63.1%		21.1%
+710
-254
+750
-245
0
1		-0.36651-0.36219-0.46061
Tottenham
Wolverhampton		43.9%
29.6%		26.5%
-154
+385
-150
+380
1
0		-0.53450-0.55352-0.82314
Crystal Palace
Liverpool		9.4%
73.7%		16.8%
+450
-170
+466
-185
1
3		-0.49669-0.47810-0.30511
Everton
West Ham United		36.9%
35.7%		27.4%
+192
+148
+200
+148
1
2		-0.94320-0.93846-1.03016
Aston Villa
Fulham		48.6%
25.9%		25.6%
+175
+152
+170
+175
0
1		-0.95810-1.02029-1.35270
Leeds United
Bournemouth		45.3%
27.8%		26.9%
+320
-120
+300
-110
2
2		-1.41927-1.39461-1.31457
Manchester City
Burnley		76.9%
7.8%		15.2%
-672
+1550
-690
+2000
1
0		-0.17284-0.16407-0.26246
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion		58.3%
19.1%		22.6%
+215
+135
+205
+142
0
3		-0.87880-0.90629-1.65355
West Ham United
Crystal Palace		39.6%
32.2%		28.2%
+183
+160
+180
+164
0
0		-1.25748-1.24282-1.26489
Arsenal
Manchester City		12.8%
68.3%		18.8%
+335
-113
+350
-108
1
2		-0.66411-0.67070-0.38101
Sunderland
Aston Villa		10.8%
71.2%		17.9%
+410
-130
+425
-138
3
4		-0.60521-0.57860-0.33940
Liverpool
Everton		55.9%
20.8%		23.2%
+127
+245
+127
+230
2
1		-0.84399-0.85266-0.58100
Manchester United
Chelsea		38.0%
35.3%		26.7%
+240
+109
+240
+110
1
0		-1.25625-1.26008-0.96816
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham		16.6%
62.2%		21.2%
+119
+205
+120
+205
2
2		-1.42587-1.40104-1.55306
Bournemouth
Newcastle United		24.0%
50.2%		25.8%
+215
+127
+215
+127
2
1		-1.16835-1.17814-1.42587
Wolverhampton
Leeds United		40.3%
31.7%		28.0%
+575
-185
+550
-185
0
3		-0.46690-0.47514-1.14854
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.