English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Chelsea		18.6%
60.1%		21.3%
+475
-195
+450
-185
0
5		-0.44830-0.46536-0.50951
Wolverhampton
Manchester City		8.9%
75.4%		15.8%
+2250
-1000
+2300
-1250
1
5		-0.12347-0.12501-0.28271
Newcastle United
Burnley		31.2%
40.0%		28.8%
-102
+246
+100
+233
4
1		-0.71486-0.73639-1.16411
Bournemouth
Arsenal		10.9%
71.2%		17.9%
+1225
-455
+1171
-500
0
3		-0.23322-0.22666-0.33907
Tottenham
Chelsea		28.9%
46.2%		24.9%
+165
+145
+165
+140
0
2		-0.93100-0.91854-0.77260
Arsenal
Tottenham		30.8%
42.8%		26.4%
-132
+335
-135
+340
3
2		-0.58972-0.60008-1.17775
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth		44.6%
27.7%		27.6%
+256
+100
+250
+105
0
3		-0.71764-0.74417-1.28240
Chelsea
Aston Villa		52.5%
24.1%		23.4%
+238
+110
+220
+105
2
2		-1.41750-1.45985-1.45278
Burnley
Manchester United		10.2%
72.5%		17.3%
+460
-198
+450
-200
1
1		-1.68335-1.64046-1.75603
Crystal Palace
Fulham		39.5%
30.9%		29.6%
+257
+112
+255
+110
1
1		-1.32021-1.28497-1.21733
Sheffield United
Newcastle United		30.7%
40.2%		29.1%
+1200
-435
+1000
-460
1
5		-0.22828-0.24222-0.91245
Liverpool
West Ham United		61.0%
17.5%		21.5%
-180
+430
-180
+425
2
2		-1.62755-1.62597-1.53819
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion		75.5%
8.7%		15.8%
-277
+700
-297
+720
4
0		-0.34281-0.32899-0.28116
Sheffield United
Manchester United		9.6%
73.1%		17.2%
+800
-325
+750
-334
2
4		-0.30345-0.31054-0.31277
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace		29.3%
42.4%		28.2%
+126
+212
+125
+200
0
2		-1.17270-1.14907-0.85710
Liverpool
Everton		55.9%
20.8%		23.2%
-250
+670
-260
+650
0
2		-2.07013-2.06168-1.56902
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.