English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for May 3, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aston Villa
Southampton		32.2%
41.8%		25.9%
-183
+478
-200
+515
3
0		-0.46788-0.45106-1.13224
Leicester City
Brighton and Hove Albion		53.0%
22.2%		24.7%
+885
-325
+995
-360
2
2		-1.82412-1.82455-1.39651
Crystal Palace
Manchester City		6.3%
80.3%		13.4%
+433
-158
+450
-160
2
5		-0.52243-0.50000-0.21940
Newcastle United
Leicester City		14.6%
65.3%		20.1%
-220
+645
-225
+645
3
0		-0.40431-0.39993-1.92717
Manchester City
Manchester United		48.0%
26.5%		25.4%
+111
+242
+110
+230
0
0		-1.34827-1.34657-1.37058
Southampton
Tottenham		21.6%
56.0%		22.4%
+700
-275
+665
-265
1
3		-0.34338-0.35962-0.57955
Liverpool
Fulham		74.4%
9.2%		16.4%
-110
+337
-112
+320
2
3		-1.50476-1.47828-2.38923
Brighton and Hove Albion
Crystal Palace		32.0%
38.5%		29.5%
+187
+155
+185
+155
1
2		-0.96609-0.97678-0.95332
Bournemouth
West Ham United		16.4%
62.2%		21.4%
+140
+202
+135
+201
2
2		-1.28573-1.29532-1.53982
Arsenal
Everton		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+110
+310
+110
+425
1
1		-1.19521-1.18375-1.28428
Tottenham
Chelsea		28.9%
46.2%		24.9%
+380
-145
+360
-150
0
1		-0.54910-0.54967-0.77260
Everton
Liverpool		15.4%
64.4%		20.2%
+650
-205
+650
-220
0
1		-0.42951-0.41923-0.44012
Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion		38.4%
34.0%		27.6%
+211
+135
+205
+130
3
0		-1.16299-1.16235-0.95667
Crystal Palace
Southampton		25.8%
48.3%		25.8%
-165
+475
-165
+470
1
1		-1.46915-1.44274-1.35325
Leicester City
Manchester City		13.9%
66.6%		19.4%
+1300
-480
+1275
-560
0
2		-0.21452-0.20949-0.40596
Fulham
Arsenal		12.6%
67.8%		19.6%
+665
-202
+650
-200
1
2		-0.43645-0.44013-0.38889
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.