English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Dec 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Everton
West Ham United		36.9%
35.7%		27.4%
+262
+115
+250
+110
0
0		-1.26284-1.28884-1.29328
Southampton
Wolverhampton		30.9%
42.1%		26.9%
+300
-105
+315
-105
0
2		-0.69750-0.68868-0.86410
Chelsea
Manchester United		27.9%
47.1%		25.0%
+157
+170
+150
+164
1
1		-1.32159-1.36622-1.38633
Aston Villa
Tottenham		21.1%
56.7%		22.2%
+270
-105
+260
-110
1
4		-0.69507-0.69111-0.56666
Crystal Palace
Wolverhampton		24.2%
49.0%		26.8%
+207
+145
+205
+143
2
2		-1.25138-1.22469-1.31722
Manchester City
Bournemouth		83.1%
5.2%		11.6%
-185
+525
-190
+510
1
2		-1.86343-1.85119-2.94732
Brighton and Hove Albion
Liverpool		9.6%
73.7%		16.7%
+685
-275
+610
-268
1
2		-0.34568-0.36677-0.30560
Everton
Southampton		37.6%
35.6%		26.8%
+172
+172
+169
+170
0
1		-1.03386-1.03308-1.03350
Arsenal
Newcastle United		54.6%
21.3%		24.1%
-102
+297
+100
+275
0
1		-1.40911-1.36156-1.54773
Liverpool
Arsenal		49.0%
25.4%		25.6%
+233
+127
+230
+125
2
2		-1.25811-1.26450-1.36344
Newcastle United
Chelsea		12.2%
70.1%		17.7%
+320
-122
+320
-130
1
2		-0.62972-0.61954-0.35465
Tottenham
Crystal Palace		53.7%
22.0%		24.3%
-107
+285
-110
+280
0
1		-1.36842-1.37745-1.51549
Manchester United
West Ham United		56.7%
20.6%		22.7%
+117
+235
+120
+215
1
2		-1.23121-1.18882-1.57896
Fulham
Everton		15.8%
62.9%		21.3%
+168
+174
+160
+175
1
1		-1.26592-1.25467-1.54844
Wolverhampton
Brighton and Hove Albion		40.0%
31.3%		28.8%
+478
-172
+485
-185
2
2		-1.53132-1.53670-1.24653
Southampton
Manchester City		8.1%
77.8%		14.1%
+2500
-940
+1900
-900
0
1		-0.13581-0.15138-0.25114
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.