English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Feb 7, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brighton and Hove Albion
West Ham United		25.8%
48.1%		26.1%
+114
+247
+111
+245
2
2		-1.31364-1.37133-1.34462
Tottenham
Crystal Palace		53.7%
22.0%		24.3%
+230
+128
+230
+125
1
0		-1.22823-1.23718-0.62166
Leeds United
Sunderland		56.9%
18.7%		24.4%
+165
+193
+160
+190
1
1		-1.18286-1.21513-1.41087
Aston Villa
Chelsea		17.9%
61.5%		20.6%
+340
-132
+325
-130
2
1		-1.51649-1.48373-1.72121
Wolverhampton
Liverpool		13.5%
66.8%		19.7%
+1150
-420
+1075
-420
1
2		-0.24407-0.25917-0.40422
Fulham
West Ham United		18.8%
58.0%		23.1%
+145
+200
+135
+200
1
0		-0.93107-0.89495-1.67068
Brighton and Hove Albion
Arsenal		17.9%
59.0%		23.0%
+875
-308
+830
-303
1
2		-0.31504-0.32495-0.52689
Everton
Burnley		47.1%
26.4%		26.5%
+122
+272
+115
+265
0
0		-1.18567-1.22438-1.32772
Manchester United
Aston Villa		58.2%
19.8%		22.0%
+275
+102
+275
+100
1
2		-0.73247-0.72253-1.61843
Crystal Palace
Leeds United		31.3%
40.1%		28.6%
+169
+192
+170
+185
1
4		-1.10570-1.08052-0.91384
Arsenal
Everton		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
-185
+565
-180
+575
1
0		-0.46741-0.47905-0.96851
Liverpool
Tottenham		47.5%
27.3%		25.3%
+102
+275
+105
+265
2
1		-0.73743-0.74938-0.74539
Burnley
Bournemouth		41.4%
29.9%		28.7%
+580
-208
+610
-210
1
1		-1.58211-1.57813-1.24712
West Ham United
Manchester City		8.3%
77.2%		14.5%
+1280
-525
+1225
-540
0
3		-0.20891-0.21392-0.25921
Sunderland
Brighton and Hove Albion		14.0%
63.8%		22.2%
+350
-120
+400
-111
0
0		-1.35155-1.33378-1.50490
Chelsea
Newcastle United		62.4%
16.8%		20.7%
+145
+190
+150
+187
2
2		-1.30103-1.30479-1.57267
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.