English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for May 3, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Wolverhampton		31.2%
41.5%		27.3%
+225
+140
+230
+145
0
1		-0.90887-0.91479-0.88015
Manchester United
Leicester City		42.2%
31.1%		26.6%
-123
+352
-115
+335
3
0		-0.62899-0.65666-0.86171
Chelsea
Arsenal		38.8%
34.2%		27.0%
+440
-138
+440
-135
0
1		-0.57969-0.58738-1.07236
Tottenham
Fulham		63.2%
15.9%		20.8%
+303
-115
+305
-110
0
2		-0.66002-0.67023-1.83772
Wolverhampton
Southampton		33.9%
38.6%		27.5%
+105
+293
+105
+290
2
1		-0.74784-0.75547-1.08167
West Ham United
Everton		28.4%
45.8%		25.8%
+282
+115
+285
+115
1
1		-1.21268-1.19985-1.35662
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City		6.3%
80.5%		13.2%
+330
-123
+310
-125
2
2		-1.43864-1.43460-2.02776
Newcastle United
West Ham United		23.2%
52.4%		24.4%
+120
+238
+120
+235
1
0		-0.82237-0.82650-1.46102
Arsenal
Manchester United		22.5%
53.5%		24.0%
-130
+420
-125
+420
1
1		-1.32576-1.28580-1.42795
Leicester City
Chelsea		28.8%
45.6%		25.5%
+1200
-425
+1200
-450
0
1		-0.24019-0.23793-0.78507
Bournemouth
Tottenham		9.9%
73.8%		16.2%
+140
+185
+135
+180
2
2		-1.36528-1.37980-1.81788
Everton
Wolverhampton		35.2%
36.5%		28.3%
+182
+186
+185
+185
1
1		-1.14228-1.13314-1.26196
Southampton
Liverpool		12.5%
69.6%		17.9%
+2400
-900
+2300
-1000
1
3		-0.13580-0.14071-0.36307
Fulham
Brighton and Hove Albion		24.1%
49.1%		26.7%
+290
+101
+275
+100
1
2		-0.72935-0.74421-0.71113
Leicester City
West Ham United		45.5%
28.5%		26.0%
+382
-130
+380
-130
0
2		-0.60576-0.59381-1.25614
Newcastle United
Liverpool		8.3%
76.7%		15.0%
+700
-265
+675
-250
0
2		-0.34480-0.35969-0.26497
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.