English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Wolverhampton		15.7%
62.4%		21.9%
+148
+180
+146
+175
1
0		-0.93494-0.94551-1.85342
Chelsea
Arsenal		38.8%
34.2%		27.0%
+650
-245
+675
-250
0
5		-0.37568-0.37512-1.07236
Liverpool
Fulham		74.4%
9.2%		16.4%
-150
+370
-150
+400
3
1		-0.54521-0.53524-0.29610
Bournemouth
Aston Villa		17.1%
61.5%		21.4%
+300
-118
+285
-115
1
3		-0.64840-0.66124-0.48573
West Ham United
Crystal Palace		39.6%
32.2%		28.2%
+235
+120
+227
+120
2
5		-0.82184-0.82963-1.13314
Arsenal
Wolverhampton		41.1%
31.0%		27.9%
-360
+975
-370
+980
2
0		-0.28014-0.28336-0.88880
Burnley
Sheffield United		32.4%
36.7%		30.9%
+170
+165
+155
+170
4
1		-1.02223-0.97936-1.12562
Everton
Chelsea		22.1%
54.9%		22.9%
+402
-147
+360
-145
0
6		-0.55088-0.56546-0.59957
Aston Villa
Arsenal		22.6%
53.8%		23.6%
+960
-350
+1050
-415
2
0		-2.39503-2.48795-1.48762
Fulham
West Ham United		18.8%
58.0%		23.1%
+192
+142
+190
+135
2
0		-1.10081-1.11024-1.67068
Crystal Palace
Liverpool		9.4%
73.7%		16.8%
+1375
-500
+1300
-575
1
0		-2.71780-2.68619-2.36021
Manchester United
Bournemouth		74.7%
9.3%		16.0%
+175
+144
+173
+140
2
2		-1.40003-1.38206-1.83452
Brighton and Hove Albion
Burnley		33.8%
36.2%		30.0%
-104
+280
-105
+270
1
1		-1.39950-1.37964-1.20491
Tottenham
Newcastle United		57.6%
19.9%		22.5%
+145
+168
+139
+165
0
4		-1.01545-1.01813-1.61661
Chelsea
Sheffield United		61.9%
16.2%		21.8%
-230
+560
-238
+575
2
2		-1.71652-1.70007-1.52211
Liverpool
Manchester United		36.4%
35.8%		27.8%
-170
+410
-180
+410
2
2		-1.60540-1.62308-1.28071
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.