English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arsenal
Bournemouth		64.1%
14.9%		21.0%
-185
+517
-190
+500
4
0		-0.45804-0.46318-0.44505
Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa		26.9%
47.4%		25.8%
+180
+153
+167
+150
1
6		-0.94781-0.95667-0.74705
Newcastle United
Sheffield United		32.4%
37.9%		29.7%
-185
+539
-195
+525
8
0		-0.45768-0.45869-1.12723
Aston Villa
Chelsea		17.9%
61.5%		20.6%
+305
-110
+310
-120
1
0		-1.42420-1.46218-1.72121
West Ham United
Liverpool		12.8%
68.8%		18.4%
+715
-261
+700
-285
1
3		-0.34832-0.34835-0.37365
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion		21.4%
53.4%		25.2%
+566
-200
+525
-208
1
3		-0.42214-0.42162-0.62747
Tottenham
Arsenal		34.4%
38.5%		27.0%
+420
-150
+375
-155
2
2		-1.49210-1.50828-1.30811
Manchester United
Burnley		65.6%
14.1%		20.4%
-127
+335
-130
+325
1
0		-0.60675-0.61118-0.42213
Fulham
Crystal Palace		24.4%
48.1%		27.5%
+320
-103
+316
-105
0
0		-1.29788-1.29653-1.29244
Arsenal
Everton		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
-175
+511
-180
+465
1
0		-0.47207-0.48303-0.96851
Chelsea
Bournemouth		71.0%
11.5%		17.5%
-115
+364
-120
+310
0
0		-1.40157-1.42491-1.74446
Manchester City
West Ham United		71.0%
11.6%		17.4%
-166
+579
-175
+475
3
1		-0.45923-0.49394-0.34231
Sheffield United
Tottenham		14.1%
65.5%		20.4%
+955
-344
+850
-360
1
2		-0.27833-0.29336-0.42243
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester United		11.4%
70.7%		17.9%
+250
+122
+240
+100
3
1		-1.24206-1.27497-2.17516
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa		26.4%
47.6%		26.1%
+310
-105
+310
-115
1
3		-0.69365-0.67360-0.74280
Liverpool
Wolverhampton		58.8%
18.4%		22.8%
-147
+647
-165
+500
3
1		-0.44276-0.47813-0.53135
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.