English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United
36.3%
35.9%
27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18
2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Manchester United
Fulham
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
-165
+475
-165
+460
2
1
-0.24632-0.25216-0.19277
Aston Villa
Manchester City
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+900
-360
+950
-335
0
2
-0.12025-0.11660-0.29079
Chelsea
Leicester City
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+155
+185
+153
+180
0
2
-0.75031-0.74514-0.77888
West Bromwich Albion
West Ham United
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+550
-175
+560
-190
1
2
-0.21654-0.20805-0.28756
Newcastle United
Arsenal
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+675
-235
+672
-235
0
3
-0.16884-0.16945-0.37430
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+1700
-550
+1635
-600
0
4
-0.06360-0.06508-0.20744
Manchester United
Liverpool
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+276
-105
+280
-105
0
0
-0.74590-0.74760-0.69837
Tottenham
Sheffield United
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
-135
+413
-126
+470
3
1
-0.29216-0.27360-0.31299
Southampton
Leicester City
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+406
-145
+425
-140
0
2
-0.28812-0.28258-0.49110
Chelsea
Fulham
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
-172
+525
-180
+530
1
0
-0.22556-0.22067-0.19810
Brighton and Hove Albion
Leeds United
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+210
+125
+210
+132
1
0
-0.86617-0.84852-0.81703
Burnley
West Ham United
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+388
-125
+387
-125
0
1
-0.31397-0.31452-0.49379
West Bromwich Albion
Wolverhampton
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+531
-150
+538
-130
3
2
-1.56571-1.52740-1.38494
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+450
-150
+500
-142
0
0
-0.86165-0.87932-0.74916
Fulham
Tottenham
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+520
-152
+500
-160
1
1
-0.89646-0.89279-1.04390
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+1810
-526
+1550
-600
0
1
-0.06045-0.06832-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.