English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Chelsea 		4.9%
85.3%		9.8%
+1200
-385

0.69
3.19		3.88
o3½+106
u3½-125

Fulham
Liverpool 		6.7%
79.6%		13.7%
+545
-218

0.61
2.57		3.18
o3½+115
u3½-135

Everton
Tottenham 		25.7%
49.9%		24.3%
+264
+104

1.13
1.66		2.79
o2½-107
u2½-110

Arsenal
Sunderland 		72.8%
9.5%		17.6%
-201
+610

2.18
0.65		2.83
o2½+100
u2½-120

Games for May 2, 2021
Games for Sep 13, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chelsea
Arsenal		38.8%
34.2%		27.0%
+400
-135
+415
-140
1
2		-0.58157-0.58223-1.07236
Manchester United
Everton		51.5%
24.3%		24.3%
-106
+280
-110
+275
2
2		-1.39259-1.40682-1.41634
Aston Villa
Hull City		67.7%
14.0%		18.3%
-110
+323
-119
+335
0
0		-1.34431-1.35097-1.69964
Crystal Palace
Fulham		39.5%
30.9%		29.6%
+250
+122
+258
+113
3
2		-1.28262-1.32159-0.92826
Leeds United
Brighton and Hove Albion		32.2%
39.6%		28.2%
+299
-104
+285
-105
1
1		-1.32859-1.33556-1.26500
Bournemouth
Newcastle United		24.0%
50.2%		25.8%
+228
+117
+229
+110
2
2		-1.34765-1.36551-1.35460
Arsenal
Aston Villa		44.6%
29.4%		25.9%
-210
+600
-220
+600
1
0		-0.42419-0.42179-0.80694
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea		14.0%
66.5%		19.5%
+313
-115
+305
-117
3
4		-0.65987-0.66382-0.40858
Newcastle United
Tottenham		14.6%
66.0%		19.5%
+210
+124
+220
+117
2
0		-1.16305-1.20935-1.92696
Everton
Bournemouth		58.8%
18.6%		22.6%
+247
+118
+250
+118
1
1		-1.27862-1.27207-1.48775
Manchester City
Crystal Palace		75.3%
8.6%		16.1%
-157
+435
-161
+430
4
1		-0.52648-0.52857-0.28317
Chelsea
Fulham		67.4%
13.4%		19.2%
+105
+277
+100
+295
3
2		-0.75201-0.72363-0.39447
Liverpool
Newcastle United		70.6%
11.5%		17.9%
-106
+275
-115
+290
2
2		-1.41325-1.39195-1.72104
Bournemouth
Manchester City		3.9%
86.4%		9.7%
+560
-210
+522
-215
1
2		-0.42399-0.42823-0.14676
Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion		38.4%
34.0%		27.6%
+260
+113
+252
+110
0
4		-0.79016-0.78847-1.08028
Crystal Palace
Everton		21.8%
53.5%		24.8%
+228
+130
+220
+127
0
2		-0.86698-0.86586-0.62607
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.