English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Feb 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arsenal
Wolverhampton		37.0%
34.6%		28.5%
+116
+265
+118
+255
1
2		-0.98948-0.96640-1.06227
Tottenham
Brighton and Hove Albion		52.0%
25.9%		22.1%
+130
+230
+131
+210
0
1		-0.88984-0.85099-1.34996
Liverpool
West Ham United		62.5%
20.6%		16.9%
+108
+250
+106
+250
3
1		-0.46643-0.46283-0.23089
Leeds United
Leicester City		24.1%
54.7%		21.2%
+325
-120
+305
-122
3
1		-1.19942-1.17115-0.79279
Burnley
Chelsea		21.5%
60.5%		18.0%
+950
-303
+925
-330
0
2		-0.11927-0.11967-0.50297
Aston Villa
Southampton		31.7%
43.7%		24.6%
+122
+222
+120
+220
1
0		-0.52440-0.52324-0.57432
Manchester United
Arsenal		42.8%
31.3%		26.0%
+115
+260
+125
+260
0
0		-0.72600-0.72051-0.76869
Sheffield United
Manchester City		12.8%
75.6%		11.7%
+1700
-525
+1850
-650
0
1		-0.06405-0.05748-0.28004
Wolverhampton
Crystal Palace		40.1%
31.4%		28.5%
+162
+205
+165
+190
0
1		-0.77202-0.73923-1.15779
Newcastle United
Everton		26.2%
51.7%		22.2%
+570
-180
+540
-170
2
0		-1.66908-1.61536-0.72672
Liverpool
Tottenham		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+110
+259
-102
+270
3
1		-0.46056-0.42869-0.70401
Leicester City
Everton		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+140
+220
+135
+220
1
1		-0.70346-0.70502-0.69503
Sheffield United
Manchester United		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+1000
-360
+1000
-370
2
1		-2.26269-2.26789-1.60023
Fulham
Brighton and Hove Albion		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+301
+105
+300
+100
0
0		-0.74839-0.75204-0.77845
Aston Villa
Burnley		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
-115
+341
-115
+345
2
3		-1.21157-1.21794-0.81844
Wolverhampton
Chelsea		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+495
-150
+470
-160
0
0		-0.88323-0.87830-0.77779
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.