Newcastle United at Liverpool

Updated

Newcastle United

15.4%12.8%71.8%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.64
1Final Score 1

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 2-3 vs West Ham United+265
W 2-1 at Burnley+230
T 2-2 vs Tottenham+422
L 0-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+480
T 1-1 vs Aston Villa+260
Liverpool
Money Line
T 1-1 at Leeds United-165
W 1-2 vs Aston Villa-215
W 3-0 at Arsenal+146
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton-150
L 1-0 vs Fulham-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+900-+1100+1200+1254+1200+1254-
Liverpool-370--475-460-526-460-460-
Draw+470-+600+640+625+640+640-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+1075-+1175--+1075+1175-
Liverpool-415--480---415-415-
Draw+525-+582--+525+582-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +1200 to +1100
Liverpool ML moved from -440 to -460

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Newcastle United ML
Liverpool ML moved from -420 to -480

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100-o3½-110o3½-113-o3½-113o3½-110-
Underu3-120-u3½-110u3½-107-u3½-107u3½-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3½+100o3½-103-o3-125o3-120o3-120-
Underu3-105u3½-120u3½-117-u3-105u3+100u3½-117-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+100
The Under moved from u3½+115 to u3½-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.2%
 
No59.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.06%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 417.83%
Exactly 66.10%
Exactly 81.12%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.00%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 511.43%
Exactly 72.79%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 056.71%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.12%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 07.15%
Exactly 118.87%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 414.43%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.68%
Exactly 224.96%
Exactly 44.58%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 312.35%
Exactly 51.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 076.90%
Exactly 120.20%
Exactly 22.65%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 029.49%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals60.42%
Wins by 3+ goals37.82%
Wins by 4+ goals20.02%
Wins by 5+ goals9.06%
Wins by 6+ goals3.55%
Wins by 7+ goals1.20%
Wins by 8+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Liverpool
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal4.50%
Wins by 2 goals1.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal20.97%
Wins by 2 goals22.60%
Wins by 3 goals17.80%
Wins by 4 goals10.96%
Wins by 5 goals5.51%
Wins by 6 goals2.34%
Wins by 7 goals0.86%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.94%4.06%
1.582.94%17.06%
2.562.11%37.89%
3.539.86%60.14%
4.522.02%77.98%
5.510.60%89.40%
6.54.49%95.51%
7.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.29%56.71%
1.511.12%88.88%
2.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.85%7.15%
1.573.98%26.02%
2.549.10%50.90%
3.527.22%72.78%
4.512.80%87.20%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.32%22.68%
1.543.68%56.32%
2.518.71%81.29%
3.56.36%93.64%
4.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Liverpool
Score012345
0
4.06%
10.70%
14.11%
12.41%
8.18%
4.32%
1
2.30%
6.07%
8.00%
7.04%
4.64%
2.45%
2
0.65%
1.72%
2.27%
2.00%
1.32%
0.69%
3
0.12%
0.33%
0.43%
0.38%
0.25%
0.13%
Newcastle United
1-02.30%
2-00.65%
2-11.72%
3-00.12%
3-10.33%
3-20.43%
Draw
0-04.06%
1-16.07%
2-22.27%
3-30.38%
Liverpool
0-110.70%
0-214.11%
1-28.00%
0-312.41%
1-37.04%
2-32.00%
0-48.18%
1-44.64%
2-41.32%
3-40.25%
0-54.32%
1-52.45%
2-50.69%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
22.68%
27.69%
16.91%
6.88%
2.10%
0.51%
0.10%
1
5.95%
7.27%
4.44%
1.81%
0.55%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.78%
0.95%
0.58%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-05.95%
2-00.78%
2-10.95%
Draw
0-022.68%
1-17.27%
2-20.58%
Liverpool
0-127.69%
0-216.91%
1-24.44%
0-36.88%
1-31.81%
2-30.24%
0-42.10%
1-40.55%
0-50.51%
1-50.13%
0-60.10%