Newcastle United at Liverpool

Updated

Newcastle United

15.4%12.8%71.8%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.64
1Final Score 1

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 2-3 vs West Ham United+265
W 2-1 at Burnley+230
T 2-2 vs Tottenham+422
L 0-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+480
T 1-1 vs Aston Villa+260
Liverpool
Money Line
T 1-1 at Leeds United-165
W 1-2 vs Aston Villa-215
W 3-0 at Arsenal+146
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton-150
L 1-0 vs Fulham-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+900-+1100+1200+1254+1200+1254-
Liverpool-370--475-460-526-460-460-
Draw+470-+600+640+625+640+640-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+1075-+1175--+1075+1175-
Liverpool-415--480---415-415-
Draw+525-+582--+525+582-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +1200 to +1100
Liverpool ML moved from -440 to -460

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Newcastle United ML
Liverpool ML moved from -420 to -480

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100-o3½-110o3½-113-o3½-113o3½-110-
Underu3-120-u3½-110u3½-107-u3½-107u3½-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3½+100o3½-103-o3-125o3-120o3-120-
Underu3-105u3½-120u3½-117-u3-105u3+100u3½-117-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+100
The Under moved from u3½+115 to u3½-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.2%
 
No59.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.06%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 417.83%
Exactly 66.10%
Exactly 81.12%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.00%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 511.43%
Exactly 72.79%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 056.71%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.12%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 07.15%
Exactly 118.87%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 414.43%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.68%
Exactly 224.96%
Exactly 44.58%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 312.35%
Exactly 51.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 076.90%
Exactly 120.20%
Exactly 22.65%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 029.49%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals60.42%
Wins by 3+ goals37.82%
Wins by 4+ goals20.02%
Wins by 5+ goals9.06%
Wins by 6+ goals3.55%
Wins by 7+ goals1.20%
Wins by 8+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Liverpool
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal4.50%
Wins by 2 goals1.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal20.97%
Wins by 2 goals22.60%
Wins by 3 goals17.80%
Wins by 4 goals10.96%
Wins by 5 goals5.51%
Wins by 6 goals2.34%
Wins by 7 goals0.86%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.94%4.06%
1.582.94%17.06%
2.562.11%37.89%
3.539.86%60.14%
4.522.02%77.98%
5.510.60%89.40%
6.54.49%95.51%
7.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.29%56.71%
1.511.12%88.88%
2.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.85%7.15%
1.573.98%26.02%
2.549.10%50.90%
3.527.22%72.78%
4.512.80%87.20%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.32%22.68%
1.543.68%56.32%
2.518.71%81.29%
3.56.36%93.64%
4.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Liverpool
Score012345
0
4.06%
10.70%
14.11%
12.41%
8.18%
4.32%
1
2.30%
6.07%
8.00%
7.04%
4.64%
2.45%
2
0.65%
1.72%
2.27%
2.00%
1.32%
0.69%
3
0.12%
0.33%
0.43%
0.38%
0.25%
0.13%
Newcastle United
1-02.30%
2-00.65%
2-11.72%
3-00.12%
3-10.33%
3-20.43%
Draw
0-04.06%
1-16.07%
2-22.27%
3-30.38%
Liverpool
0-110.70%
0-214.11%
1-28.00%
0-312.41%
1-37.04%
2-32.00%
0-48.18%
1-44.64%
2-41.32%
3-40.25%
0-54.32%
1-52.45%
2-50.69%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
22.68%
27.69%
16.91%
6.88%
2.10%
0.51%
0.10%
1
5.95%
7.27%
4.44%
1.81%
0.55%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.78%
0.95%
0.58%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-05.95%
2-00.78%
2-10.95%
Draw
0-022.68%
1-17.27%
2-20.58%
Liverpool
0-127.69%
0-216.91%
1-24.44%
0-36.88%
1-31.81%
2-30.24%
0-42.10%
1-40.55%
0-50.51%
1-50.13%
0-60.10%
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